Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2050f8bcfda8691e27f29785910a8fc71a1604d44ff6a1b51bae628f70ffd395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 7c | 32,389$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 9c | 24,641$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.46 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 11c | 12,837$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.92 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,439$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 11,712$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…cc65backed Yes | 9c | 9,901$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 66c | 9,016$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 6,319$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 1c | 5,202$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 8c | 4,976$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…769dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,951$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 10c | 3,954$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.83 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…87a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,598$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,321$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…a77cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,029$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…a30abacked Yes | 7c | 1,858$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 6c | 1,634$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 13c | 1,572$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,472$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 71c | 1,400$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 1,317$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,293$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 1,259$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 12c | 1,179$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 21c | 1,144$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 17c | 1,031$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…528ebacked Yes | 4c | 957.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 2c | 895.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 2c | 859.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 5c | 846.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 5c | 836.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 8c | 801.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 79c | 780.51$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 4c | 727.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Yes | 15c | 697.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 6c | 673.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 8c | 543.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…dce1backed Yes | 9c | 516.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…8ebfbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…09b5backed Yes | 8c | 425.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 10c | 424$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 12c | 404.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…99a5backed Yes | 8c | 403.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 7c | 394.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…d519backed Yes | 13c | 369.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +123%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 3c | 369.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…cebfbacked Yes | 10c | 355.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…915bbacked Yes | 8c | 332.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…5d8bbacked Yes | 5c | 325.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…398bbacked Yes | 15c | 320.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…0211backed Yes | 34c | 307.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…a9f6backed Yes | 9c | 299.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Yes | 31c | 290.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 5c | 285.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…cc65backed Yes | 18c | 269.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 8c | 260.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Yes | 12c | 231.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 8c | 225.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 77c | 207.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…d5b1backed Yes | 9c | 202.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…55b2backed Yes | 22c | 199.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…0dd1backed No | 61c | 193.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e142backed Yes | 7c | 185.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 15c | 174.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…02b1backed Yes | 18c | 166.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…1a52backed Yes | 19c | 154.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec0…d4bebacked Yes | 18c | 139.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 38c | 120.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…f921backed No | 79c | 119.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…0539backed Yes | 18c | 119.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960b…9e7cbacked Yes | 11c | 95.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…33ebbacked Yes | 18c | 73.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…5f91backed Yes | 22c | 71.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…22f3backed Yes | 36c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…2610backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 79c | 48.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…d9d5backed No | 68c | 41.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed No | 72c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…1d56backed No | 79c | 13.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.