TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06ab…7457

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7,137.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$3,351.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$387
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$507.31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$512.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.6
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$444
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$1,120
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$372
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$999.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$1,867.17
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.26
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,409.55
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,563.47
Will Solana reach $220 August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$1,067.49
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$1,150.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$139.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,418.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$1,322.21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$660
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.5
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$1,970.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.