Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c71c6f43ceb1dec4b91e60cf22a4480f0b73683a3ea4aaba812ca20cba17e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 61c | 79,667$48,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,781.73 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 31c | 57,231$17,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,862.66 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 31,600$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 1c | 21,583$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 24c | 20,645$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.21 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 0c | 15,133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 35c | 14,557$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.08 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 35c | 13,781$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 11,138$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.38 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 50c | 9,525$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 66c | 7,811$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed No | 34c | 7,201$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 30c | 6,604$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 68c | 5,569$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…cdc2backed No | 0c | 5,547$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 73c | 4,688$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 23c | 4,200$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 35c | 4,054$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.5 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 16c | 3,870$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…dd36backed No | 1c | 3,207$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 66c | 3,203$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 64c | 3,141$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 2,956$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.66 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 55c | 2,896$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed Yes | 67c | 2,638$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.57 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 47c | 2,525$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.17 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 28c | 2,510$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.42 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…70b3backed No | 7c | 2,500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 28c | 2,376$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 24c | 2,347$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.48 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 31c | 2,287$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 25c | 2,092$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 33c | 2,033$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.27 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…de8abacked Yes | 67c | 1,974$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 33c | 1,953$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…8366backed Yes | 62c | 1,911$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 44c | 1,905$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.22 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked No | 35c | 1,855$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 63c | 1,850$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,689$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 40c | 1,510$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 27c | 1,454$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.02 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 65c | 1,446$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed No | 31c | 1,393$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 1,385$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 37c | 1,343$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.19 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 1,295$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 1,271$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,241$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.48 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Yes | 64c | 1,235$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,230$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 38c | 1,193$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed No | 24c | 1,135$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…6b81backed No | 53c | 1,053$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…1fd0backed No | 44c | 1,049$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…c549backed Yes | 68c | 1,036$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 60c | 1,014$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 29c | 1,011$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…eeb8backed No | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 991$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed Yes | 72c | 902.72$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 48c | 887.4$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…bad8backed No | 52c | 867.55$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed No | 46c | 858.53$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 30c | 827.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 24c | 823.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed No | 35c | 777.65$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 59c | 757.91$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Yes | 67c | 750.67$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked No | 6c | 740.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 6c | 707.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 31c | 702.43$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 70c | 686.07$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 65c | 672.28$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 13c | 666$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed No | 37c | 651.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 62c | 650$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 38c | 649.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 41c | 646.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 22c | 633.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 66c | 629.39$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 38c | 604.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…5653backed Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 49c | 599.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 61c | 595.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 570.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…e123backed Yes | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.