Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda7d5017be661e87715a6e9e4933aad8a9231041cc7d5103c11a3fcb14bf292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,166,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,048,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,166,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 1c | 1,347,889$11,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.04 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…b2a2backed No | 0c | 315,431$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…03a2backed No | 0c | 141,992$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…e4eabacked No | 25c | 66,600$16,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,516.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…827cbacked No | 25c | 65,950$16,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,751.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375c…9624backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 3c | 24,087$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…20d6backed Yes | 75c | 23,550$17,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e853backed Yes | 75c | 23,500$17,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…41edbacked Yes | 75c | 22,300$16,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…cae2backed Yes | 75c | 21,600$16,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…f699backed Yes | 75c | 21,450$16,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…5db1backed No | 0c | 21,401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…8fcbbacked Yes | 75c | 20,150$15,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 12c | 16,334$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.57 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…3dd6backed No | 2c | 15,238$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…654ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 10c | 9,728$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.55 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…17e8backed No | 0c | 9,667$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed Yes | 75c | 9,000$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 8,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed No | 6c | 8,112$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 7,861$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6341backed No | 1c | 7,007$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 13c | 7,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…ef9bbacked No | 1c | 5,401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 24c | 5,141$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.54 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…4bdebacked No | 20c | 5,069$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 4,893$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.99 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…ce7abacked No | 6c | 4,217$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 5c | 4,214$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 10c | 3,913$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…426abacked No | 8c | 3,836$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 79c | 3,769$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…1cd0backed No | 14c | 3,725$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a7…a370backed No | 7c | 3,685$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…db7ebacked No | 6c | 3,672$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 15c | 3,636$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 3,439$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.72 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…c984backed No | 9c | 3,387$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 12c | 3,378$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.62 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 3,368$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…fd4dbacked No | 16c | 3,342$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…f720backed No | 1c | 3,270$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753c…6df1backed No | 20c | 3,237$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed No | 21c | 3,103$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…7d69backed No | 8c | 3,073$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked No | 14c | 3,067$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…85cebacked No | 6c | 3,018$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49be…1563backed No | 6c | 2,860$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…2236backed No | 6c | 2,776$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 2,768$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed No | 11c | 2,672$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +140%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…8280backed No | 6c | 2,627$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…9274backed No | 4c | 2,605$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7aa…afe8backed No | 10c | 2,494$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…a962backed No | 7c | 2,488$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…8fb8backed No | 6c | 2,460$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,411$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…c27fbacked No | 7c | 2,396$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…046bbacked No | 13c | 2,313$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…5002backed No | 6c | 2,232$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…47d7backed No | 3c | 2,218$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…37b3backed No | 7c | 2,158$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 12c | 2,125$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.59 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked No | 14c | 2,086$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 77c | 2,086$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.28 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 5c | 2,080$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…5dc3backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked No | 8c | 1,973$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0c…1948backed No | 8c | 1,947$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…2f38backed No | 6c | 1,935$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b0bbbacked No | 8c | 1,923$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…52e8backed No | 6c | 1,919$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce56…057cbacked No | 6c | 1,913$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…a08ebacked No | 6c | 1,909$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…54a4backed No | 8c | 1,903$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 4c | 1,900$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…db08backed No | 6c | 1,891$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…f613backed No | 6c | 1,887$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked No | 15c | 1,854$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…b74abacked No | 8c | 1,830$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…8deebacked No | 15c | 1,796$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…1f1dbacked No | 6c | 1,793$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…be9abacked No | 6c | 1,787$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…5f56backed No | 8c | 1,734$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…bc5cbacked No | 8c | 1,734$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 9c | 1,700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ceb9backed No | 8c | 1,693$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,656$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…11d2backed No | 10c | 1,654$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…2e85backed No | 10c | 1,622$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…eb04backed No | 7c | 1,616$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…af57backed No | 6c | 1,615$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…a21dbacked No | 8c | 1,599$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…e7a4backed No | 7c | 1,598$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…cfc4backed No | 10c | 1,590$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d5…dd66backed No | 7c | 1,529$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666c…69a6backed No | 8c | 1,526$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d19cbacked No | 8c | 1,507$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.