Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404f8cff823a8692b2225d2372429300a73093a0838d614839e626b0d13d501c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 277,877$19,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,810.38 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 34,611$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 30,026$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.89 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…2128backed Yes | 2c | 25,256$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 2c | 20,201$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 16,328$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.08 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 4c | 15,018$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.87 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 5c | 13,005$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 9c | 12,512$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.33 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…8334backed Yes | 4c | 9,500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,186$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…b1a0backed Yes | 6c | 8,862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 2c | 8,696$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 1c | 8,432$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 15c | 8,215$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 7,104$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 4c | 7,016$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5acbbacked Yes | 2c | 6,096$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 3c | 6,088$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 3c | 5,998$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,769$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2540backed Yes | 2c | 5,522$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed Yes | 7c | 5,076$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 2c | 4,364$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Yes | 3c | 3,968$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed Yes | 4c | 3,963$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…63cdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,885$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…3db8backed Yes | 2c | 3,793$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 3,684$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…ca2dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…6ec2backed Yes | 3c | 3,484$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 2c | 3,299$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 3,196$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 7c | 3,175$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 7c | 3,115$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,104$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…9f5cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,093$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,885$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…943cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,731$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Yes | 4c | 2,695$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,660$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,579$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 11c | 2,470$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 1c | 2,366$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,317$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,165$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,106$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 3c | 2,041$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,925$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,911$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,876$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 4c | 1,875$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…f9c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,810$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 1,778$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 4c | 1,742$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,741$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 8c | 1,736$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,516$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…dd1cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,505$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…b928backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 10c | 1,409$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,310$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a83…a9a0backed Yes | 5c | 1,309$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Yes | 1c | 1,303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…0327backed Yes | 5c | 1,291$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…8d47backed Yes | 4c | 1,263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,175$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 17c | 1,171$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 14c | 1,161$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,147$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,133$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +526.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 3c | 1,089$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Yes | 9c | 1,067$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed Yes | 1c | 1,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,005$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…1833backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…f485backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 8c | 950.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 900.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed Yes | 2c | 876.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 16c | 836.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 1c | 819.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 15c | 790.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…4b66backed Yes | 3c | 749.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…92f1backed Yes | 3c | 735.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.