Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb248b9dfdd554f6a6507b6addab97228fdbe5ce7f8e4f1abceb5267c6c8ef9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x424a…04cebacked Yes | 2c | 39,614$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.16 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…635abacked Yes | 4c | 37,417$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 2c | 16,644$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 5c | 15,802$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.37 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 11,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…b8dcbacked Yes | 4c | 9,501$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…6952backed Yes | 6c | 9,463$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…2aa3backed Yes | 0c | 8,650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 5c | 7,186$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 7c | 6,902$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,229$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,911$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 5c | 5,233$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.65 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…6ec2backed Yes | 5c | 3,545$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 4c | 3,322$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…8289backed Yes | 40c | 2,850$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…97a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,356$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,115$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,082$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 2,008$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…9041backed Yes | 33c | 1,834$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…d47cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,751$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,672$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed Yes | 2c | 1,661$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 4c | 1,412$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…ecf2backed Yes | 14c | 1,380$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 1,343$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…46d1backed Yes | 5c | 1,269$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +456.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 23c | 1,251$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 6c | 1,143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…39bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 973.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 15c | 899.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 5c | 881.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 7c | 760$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…0cf3backed Yes | 7c | 723$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 4c | 684.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…7dd3backed Yes | 7c | 680$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 3c | 650.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 76c | 647.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 5c | 639.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 65c | 623.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…ff03backed Yes | 4c | 548.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…da3fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…1df5backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…c857backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…56ffbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…2b23backed Yes | 3c | 463.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 43c | 449.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 12c | 433.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 20c | 409.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…a86ebacked Yes | 3c | 372.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4ffebacked Yes | 5c | 292.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 5c | 290.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 19c | 286.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 5c | 279.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…703bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 13cpaid | +258%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 12c | 242.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…e9b2backed No | 74c | 238.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 7c | 236.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked Yes | 5c | 233.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 17c | 219.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…84f6backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…693ebacked No | 76c | 195.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 72c | 179.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 64c | 177.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…443abacked Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…ee3ebacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…f011backed Yes | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 9c | 147$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4f…c649backed Yes | 11c | 144.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 19c | 133.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…30e8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 48c | 122.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 21c | 119.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 11c | 116.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…d738backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…fd72backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…ad93backed Yes | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed No | 77c | 98.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…1e80backed Yes | 24c | 93.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 11c | 91.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 72.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…abecbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.