Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f8272f4957b7dcc492d988e5c7cd6dbb2f4111cd309571514a280938d617f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,051,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,033,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,051,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 30c | 375,927$112,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,388.86 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 61c | 84,567$51,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,311.96 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 23c | 82,109$18,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,492.27 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 51c | 76,551$39,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,138.93 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2540backed Yes | 27c | 42,561$11,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,041.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 79c | 37,850$29,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,800.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 77c | 26,219$20,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,252.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 21c | 24,288$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,305.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 10c | 16,185$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,490.79 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 21c | 14,160$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.93 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 15c | 12,278$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,486.19 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 18c | 11,816$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,717.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 22c | 11,706$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 11c | 10,437$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,321.68 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…ae05backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 33c | 9,610$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…eb8bbacked Yes | 14c | 9,446$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…7a35backed Yes | 42c | 9,288$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 20c | 8,997$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 73c | 8,885$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 33c | 8,720$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed No | 1c | 8,557$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 6c | 8,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,896 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 16c | 8,242$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 8c | 7,509$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.28 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 71c | 7,427$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…36c7backed Yes | 11c | 7,282$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,454.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +339.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 65c | 7,116$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.25 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 72c | 6,923$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 75c | 6,443$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.87 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 15c | 6,125$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 5c | 5,851$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 35c | 5,712$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 58c | 5,498$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.48 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 26c | 5,261$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.05 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 6c | 5,194$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 32c | 5,019$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…21cdbacked Yes | 32c | 4,824$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked No | 79c | 4,769$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed Yes | 23c | 4,681$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,548$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 29c | 4,494$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.43 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 38c | 4,349$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 66c | 4,179$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 73c | 4,142$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.95 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 16c | 4,099$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 39c | 4,071$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 5c | 4,004$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…c7e1backed Yes | 18c | 3,945$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Yes | 31c | 3,944$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 56c | 3,719$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.89 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 74c | 3,700$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 65c | 3,641$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 22c | 3,633$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,628$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…ad7ebacked No | 77c | 3,518$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…a661backed No | 80c | 3,510$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked No | 64c | 3,504$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 22c | 3,450$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 39c | 3,130$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.78 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed Yes | 59c | 2,863$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.88 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed No | 29c | 2,759$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 15c | 2,710$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.36 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 2,682$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.15 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 80c | 2,655$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.09 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed Yes | 19c | 2,573$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed Yes | 71c | 2,548$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…0e8bbacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…62debacked No | 65c | 2,491$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,441$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 38c | 2,326$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2c03backed No | 80c | 2,218$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…1392backed Yes | 30c | 2,183$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 30c | 2,174$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.04 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…1575backed Yes | 35c | 2,121$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 2,118$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 2,044$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.52 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 8c | 2,021$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.78 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…647abacked Yes | 28c | 1,971$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,922$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.38 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…4b66backed Yes | 41c | 1,914$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 11c | 1,876$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 30c | 1,807$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.85 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 1,798$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,743$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed Yes | 16c | 1,730$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed No | 45c | 1,725$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,668$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.24 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Yes | 41c | 1,663$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…f90ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,650$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 20c | 1,603$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.45 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 70c | 1,580$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,567$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.48 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.