Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf923bf5b4df1b39d882be2210065b4596ede7646ae52e2199c4bc9370e7b8c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked No | 0c | 174,346$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…979dbacked No | 1c | 88,338$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed No | 0c | 54,884$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…1be8backed No | 0c | 22,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…94c0backed No | 0c | 8,954$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,066$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 69c | 2,130$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.46 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 1c | 2,012$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e5…fb20backed No | 55c | 1,370$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,222$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…f776backed No | 34c | 1,057$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…47bfbacked No | 61c | 807.7$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 56c | 600$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…5462backed Yes | 62c | 428.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…229abacked No | 54c | 403.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…cd4abacked Yes | 45c | 392.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed Yes | 77c | 364.48$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 71c | 339.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 339.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…f6b8backed Yes | 64c | 312.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 58c | 299.57$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…c27cbacked No | 46c | 288.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…9c0ebacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 55c | 238.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…04e2backed No | 42c | 236.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…c03cbacked Yes | 75c | 206.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…90e7backed Yes | 48c | 206$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…4e7fbacked Yes | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…d02dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf533…051ebacked No | 51c | 195.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…f13abacked No | 41c | 180.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…c9a0backed Yes | 73c | 178.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…9c96backed Yes | 59c | 170.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 45c | 170.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 59c | 162.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 77c | 150.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…85b5backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 78c | 128.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 58c | 128.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…defabacked Yes | 68c | 125.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Yes | 61c | 122.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…5362backed Yes | 73c | 121.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 26c | 111.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…3b59backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…04a8backed Yes | 38c | 90.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 55c | 89.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 58c | 84.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…559ebacked No | 38c | 81.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…abd8backed Yes | 57c | 77.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…598fbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 50c | 70.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 26c | 70.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…37d0backed Yes | 69c | 68.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…269bbacked No | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed Yes | 60c | 65.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…b94cbacked Yes | 44c | 64.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…e6ffbacked Yes | 40c | 61.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…7062backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 32c | 55.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…9ca1backed Yes | 36c | 55.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…5dd0backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…2097backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5f…b11cbacked Yes | 65c | 46.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…c8ecbacked Yes | 47c | 40.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…4f6cbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…4429backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 69c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…d877backed Yes | 51c | 39.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137d…d67dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 58c | 36.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…54d7backed Yes | 72c | 35.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…cfcfbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 28.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 36c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…581ebacked Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…63bcbacked Yes | 59c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 58c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…df43backed Yes | 68c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 64c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…031dbacked Yes | 67c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…b029backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.