TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a24…f55d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Commodities, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 62 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+88.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$15.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.5%+$17.11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$96.56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+243.5%+$243.55
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+90%+$99.91
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.17
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.76
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.2
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.96
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$22.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,769.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,769.8%+$378.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+106%+$19.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29%+$4.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.