Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64d6d4884bc3c17f0e6e8f18ab66eba1bbbdbea2227d52bb2058cd2676e7283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 48c | 6,494$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 5,557$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 1,740$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 35c | 1,684$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 1,500$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Over | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 55c | 991.46$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.16 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 53c | 869.87$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 770.26$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 699.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 572.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 472.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 35c | 426.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 317.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 35c | 299.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +348.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 62c | 274.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 263.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 254.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 30c | 189.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 48c | 161.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 21c | 157.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 50c | 132.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 129.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 117.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 107.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 46c | 106$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 57c | 60.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 60.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 64c | 58.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 57c | 44.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 34c | 41.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 37.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 40c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 28.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 66c | 27.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 61c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 71c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 67c | 19.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 62c | 16.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.