Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f520a0bf33a094123229b3fa7753ee2425b47b8207b9c5833eea183808f168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 1,305$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,004$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 781.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 571.84$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 9c | 282.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 78c | 243.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 41c | 168.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 22c | 108.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 80c | 62.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 78c | 37.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 74cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.