Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137fb9c1d62e755a91173b782132213963b49f7f6bbec1eae30d025abece1a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 3,194$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.18 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 1,975$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.94 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,871$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,578$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.53 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 595.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 58c | 581.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.52 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 43c | 543$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.98 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 52c | 290.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 52c | 239.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 54c | 224.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 137.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 41c | 106.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 105.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 89.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 72c | 78.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 53c | 67.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 48c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.