Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67452e322e6c5d5de2f8a02dab43d3c9f55ec28008c8de63199595a8ea83ad68

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,082,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,141,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,082,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Over	50c	400,000$200,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200,000	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	288,419$134,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,430.38	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over	56c	183,810$102,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,933.38	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	3c	161,093$4,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,947.29	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over	57c	159,000$90,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,629.83	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under	43c	131,625$56,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,026.03	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	44c	103,453$45,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,580.22	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	42c	83,397$34,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,465.5	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under	42c	80,072$33,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,442.64	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	38c	75,582$28,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,726.04	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	67,872$31,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,582.58	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over	59c	66,960$39,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,506.63	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	24c	66,245$16,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,025.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	40c	60,997$24,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,545.23	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	44c	55,056$24,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,780.63	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	46c	54,447$25,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,278.88	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over	58c	51,724$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under	46c	41,021$18,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,120.27	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over	55c	36,364$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	57c	33,902$19,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,200.79	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f3…2e03backed Over	54c	33,185$17,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,987.5	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Under	43c	32,546$13,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,550.96	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under	45c	30,000$13,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,400	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	28,858$14,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,578.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	71c	28,555$20,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,379.88	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over	37c	27,760$10,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,152.21	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	46c	22,109$10,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,015.01	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	59c	20,199$11,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,982.83	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2442…19ffbacked Over	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,800	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	43c	19,511$8,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,108.12	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	76c	18,853$14,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,605.95	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	48c	17,573$8,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,225.3	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	51c	16,990$8,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,664.9	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under	44c	15,753$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,752.64	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under	43c	14,692$6,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,374.25	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5cd…4249backed Over	0c	14,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	56c	14,479$8,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,065.43	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	52c	14,330$7,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,856	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over	57c	13,973$7,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,964.5	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae61…dab3backed Under	45c	13,176$5,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,309.63	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	40c	12,500$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,499.9	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	57c	12,000$6,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,840	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over	0c	11,640$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over	57c	11,495$6,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,552.03	243	44.9%109 W · 134 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under	44c	11,115$4,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,224.4	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	59c	10,433$6,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,249.34	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Under	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,416.67	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	41c	10,164$4,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,998.41	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	45c	10,069$4,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,514.46	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,699.91	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	54c	9,121$4,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,925.3	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c6…188cbacked Over	58c	8,621$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	48c	8,509$4,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,458.58	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under	46c	8,493$3,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,586.22	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under	43c	8,200$3,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,673.99	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over	12c	8,146$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.15	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c60…f4fcbacked Over	56c	8,000$4,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,489.99	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	43c	7,441$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,241.34	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over	57c	7,000$3,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,990	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	57c	7,000$3,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,990	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	42c	6,842$2,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,988.24	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f77…9da4backed Under	44c	6,818$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,818.18	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under	45c	6,667$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,666.88	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	72c	6,644$4,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,890.65	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	41c	6,627$2,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,909.87	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf4…e4d2backed Under	46c	6,522$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,521.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+84.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Over	60c	6,373$3,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,824	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b51…ad13backed Over	58c	6,207$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over	51c	6,042$3,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,081.29	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over	57c	6,037$3,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,441.07	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over	47c	6,033$2,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.17	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,420	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,420	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.9	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.81	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	57c	5,671$3,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448.45	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Over	53c	5,517$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,924.74	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	24c	5,382$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.35	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Over	57c	5,263$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	42c	5,234$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.94	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Under	43c	5,100$2,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,907	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Over	59c	5,096$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	54cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.94	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Under	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,899.89	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4d…8b35backed Over	75c	4,812$3,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,590	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	56c	4,811$2,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,716.37	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	44c	4,745$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,673.2	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	58c	4,732$2,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,744.62	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Under	43c	4,699$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,678.28	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over	20c	4,650$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.5	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	43c	4,422$1,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520.8	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Under	45c	4,420$1,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Over	72c	4,332$3,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125.83	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	75cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	56c	4,316$2,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.84	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Over	58c	4,310$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed Under	43c	4,296$1,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448.9	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under	44c	4,234$1,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,390.99	122	41%50 W · 72 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event