TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c7,522$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c5,111$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c4,407$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c3,147$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Over66c1,516$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.84932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over66c1,393$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3818929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c1,250$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c1,250$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over54c1,034$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over70c833.32$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over61c719.99$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over49c612.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c556.85$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.963,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over44c549.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.884238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c532.68$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under36c499.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9795739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over68c404.41$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27516123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c403$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.072,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under33c402.58$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c396.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.672,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6464…ad1dbacked Over68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under32c300$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over65c298.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c295.84$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7128822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under34c249.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9920638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over68c249.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9934247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over68c235.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.214647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c179.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.471,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under35c172.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ee…4abebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c166.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c163$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Over20c158.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.378950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd423…99e9backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…3efebacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over66c139.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9735848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under34c121.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.187945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c108.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6817735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under40c97.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…b5abbacked Over58c85.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over65c77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0516341.7%68 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Over16c74.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.969253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5597…9dd8backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under42c72.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6942554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under34c65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.222,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under34c59.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.511,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under34c54.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2946247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba2…24febacked Over68c50.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013345.1%60 W · 73 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Over60c49.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…fa00backed Over65c48.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1e…18aebacked Over63c47.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under34c47.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under34c42.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1924843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02d…62c0backed Under32c42.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x010c…a158backed Over72c41.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305961%36 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over68c39.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4666…3a55backed Over65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…c52abacked Over65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under62c38.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Over68c38.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over37c38.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.173412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x9152…1311backed Over66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under34c35.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a3…e23dbacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ea…1092backed Over65c29.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010465.4%68 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Over64c26.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over68c22.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc4…2603backed Over70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over59c20.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc476…e414backed Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.46666.7%44 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddcf…cbf5backed Under78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.233225%8 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over67c16.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118864.8%57 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6051…06efbacked Over68c16.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.