Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795ba8565e87234435e9cbf398b07090e782c7194b4451e65743933e1b708bf7

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	21,657$10,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,682.63	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under	49c	14,265$6,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,989.82	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under	49c	7,000$3,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,429.97	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under	50c	5,910$2,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,955	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over	50c	5,140$2,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,569.84	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under	50c	4,000$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.99	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	50c	3,621$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.29	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over	51c	3,219$1,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.31	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	59c	3,119$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840.21	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.97	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2de…12cfbacked Over	51c	2,400$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9953…d520backed Under	49c	2,400$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Over	52c	2,308$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.69	79	58.2%46 W · 33 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under	9c	2,250$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	112	16.1%18 W · 94 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under	11c	2,208$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.66	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+525.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under	6c	2,200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	138	13%18 W · 120 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	51c	2,155$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.8	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Over	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	48c	2,063$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.19	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over	41c	1,924$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.52	95	73.7%70 W · 25 L	+15.1wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	51c	1,857$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.74	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under	13c	1,822$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.92	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	49c	1,693$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.76	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x990d…e207backed Under	14c	1,470$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.7	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	1,401$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.48	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under	14c	1,400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	1,305$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.87	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over	41c	1,255$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.09	157	63.7%100 W · 57 L	+16.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+115.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	49c	1,168$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.41	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under	49c	1,151$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under	50c	1,110$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	142	46.5%66 W · 76 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under	6c	1,100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	99	12.1%12 W · 87 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	49c	1,003$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.56	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	3.8%2 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under	49c	999.98$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under	15c	895.64$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.72	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+12.4wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under	15c	895.63$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.71	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	27c	888$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.6	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Under	62c	810.98$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under	13c	727.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.08	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Under	8c	704.67$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.09	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	50c	669.61$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.81	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over	78c	644.38$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.38	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over	51c	637.2$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.25	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	54c	613.96$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.12	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	50c	600$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over	50c	599.01$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.51	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under	50c	591$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.5	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under	49c	589.1$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.66	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Under	50c	581.96$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.98	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under	50c	568.27$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.14	211	46.9%99 W · 112 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under	50c	568.27$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.14	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	41c	548.86$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.67	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	2c	543.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Over	51c	543.24$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.19	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	504.07$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.86	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under	13c	475.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	92	21.7%20 W · 72 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under	15c	463.89$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.62	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under	48c	420.77$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.32	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	49c	420$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.8	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked Under	49c	413$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.42	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under	49c	408.17$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b80…7a22backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.0wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d66…6c79backed Under	49c	381.12$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.75	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	38c	370.87$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.14	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under	49c	367.35$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	51c	362.09$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.82	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	49c	358.24$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.99	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Under	55c	347.81$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.32	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under	49c	338$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.62	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Over	49c	333$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.83	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x971f…1e98backed Under	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Under	50c	302.04$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a18…99c9backed Under	52c	242.31$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb95…9b8dbacked Under	51c	240$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.4	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…9437backed Over	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…661cbacked Over	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a7fdbacked Under	51c	240$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.4	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over	42c	232.5$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.98	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	51c	229.4$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.41	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16a8…77e2backed Under	51c	220$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…bfd2backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.35per pick	51cpaid	+69%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f87…9177backed Over	51c	220$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe836…4723backed Over	51c	220$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153b…f576backed Under	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event