Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cfeaf5c481cae1c7fffe874888227c6cf31683e15e45da847df4588013b295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 12,101$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 11,703$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 8,876$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.11 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 8,186$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 37c | 5,333$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.36 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 29c | 4,479$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 19c | 3,816$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.72 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 53c | 3,771$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.6 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 3,469$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 2,782$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Under | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.77 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 18c | 2,540$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.79 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 2,107$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.89 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 1,700$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 15c | 1,627$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 80c | 1,044$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 16c | 834.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 80c | 766.33$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked Under | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 15c | 740.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed Under | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Under | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 72c | 593$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Under | 21c | 583.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.37 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Under | 21c | 583.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.36 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 16c | 578.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 24c | 565$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 74c | 512.46$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 417.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 24c | 408.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over | 25c | 408.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 23c | 404.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…4c27backed Under | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 80c | 355.91$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…710fbacked Over | 14c | 348.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Under | 16c | 333.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Over | 15c | 307.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Under | 77c | 261.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 16c | 245.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Under | 21c | 235.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 17c | 214.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 60c | 199.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 196$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 74c | 194$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 78c | 193.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Over | 25c | 189.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 77c | 186.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 16c | 171.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 166.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…c4efbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 75c | 157.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d35ebacked Under | 73c | 157.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…c438backed Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 22c | 153.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under | 32c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 10c | 139.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…56a5backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Over | 11c | 95.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 15c | 76.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 16c | 71.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 75c | 69.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 74c | 68.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…acd3backed Over | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 16c | 65.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…3d15backed Over | 20c | 60.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…9750backed Over | 22c | 59.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under | 77c | 54.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 75c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 72c | 44.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Over | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 74c | 32.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 69c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.