TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c12,101$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c11,703$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c8,876$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.112,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under79c8,186$6,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over37c5,333$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.3638960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over29c4,479$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3007040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over19c3,816$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.7265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over53c3,771$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.623363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over16c3,469$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c2,782$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Under75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.775860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over18c2,540$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c2,107$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.891,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c1,700$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over15c1,627$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under80c1,044$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over16c834.28$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under80c766.33$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6735034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under16c750$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302729.6%8 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over15c740.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.711,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5044027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045217.3%9 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+525.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c593$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.041,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under21c583.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.379631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under21c583.91$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3612029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over16c578.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over24c565$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under74c512.46$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3618644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over10c417.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.511,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over24c408.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over25c408.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.215521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over23c404.91$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.136432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b7…4c27backed Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under80c355.91$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…710fbacked Over14c348.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under16c333.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.075724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Over15c307.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4834526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Under77c261.04$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0419553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over16c245.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.289328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under21c235.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.364717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over14c230$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over17c214.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.242,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under60c199.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.972,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under73c196$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under74c194$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under78c193.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0545548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Over25c189.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1612144.6%54 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under77c186.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over16c171.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c166.95$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f6…c4efbacked Over25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under75c157.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.061,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…d35ebacked Under73c157.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over22c153.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under32c150$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.517645.5%80 W · 96 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over10c139.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7817432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…56a5backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107630.3%23 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.141444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Over11c95.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.313735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.072,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204415.9%7 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over15c76.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4786656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over16c71.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4242332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under75c69.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.541,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under74c68.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7529556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5730547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87e…acd3backed Over16c67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.721936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7931853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over16c65.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd787…3d15backed Over20c60.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe383…9750backed Over22c59.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under77c54.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.497254.2%39 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ff34backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520343.8%89 W · 114 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under75c49.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under72c44.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3526449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7622452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Over25c40.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8837352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under74c32.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5318761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6410465.4%68 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce49…d7a1backed Under69c18.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0265036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.