Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57b2721f6c32de7d06e1213a74cb6be5299e1fe3e13ee8f547877c338743c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,174,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,285,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,174,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 128,625$89,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,891.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 75c | 106,328$79,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,395.37 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Over | 27c | 87,981$23,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,679 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 81,924$61,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,244.63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Over | 36c | 63,734$22,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,944.41 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…df43backed Over | 33c | 62,222$20,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,533.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 54,713$15,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589.44 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 66c | 42,743$28,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,532.55 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Under | 70c | 35,303$24,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,688.01 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Over | 33c | 30,303$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Under | 73c | 24,585$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,584.82 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 36c | 14,713$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.67 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 14,129$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.51 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Under | 73c | 13,625$9,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 27c | 12,737$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.92 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 9c | 12,707$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.16 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 12,064$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.25 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 68c | 11,772$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Under | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.97 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 20c | 8,766$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.95 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 40c | 7,554$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.4 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…4e7ebacked Over | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 6,543$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Over | 33c | 6,016$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.9 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab6…05febacked Over | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 5,539$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 11c | 5,268$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.12 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 60c | 4,960$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Under | 76c | 4,794$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.27 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 4,741$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 4,526$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.01 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Under | 80c | 4,445$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 4,277$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.83 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 30c | 4,197$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.91 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 34c | 3,784$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.47 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 73c | 3,678$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.16 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 3,663$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.96 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Over | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 14c | 3,497$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Under | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…0824backed Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 66c | 2,396$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.68 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Under | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 80c | 2,367$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 28c | 2,355$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.6 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 65c | 2,290$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.5 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 2,265$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.05 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 2,195$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…9350backed Under | 67c | 2,030$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Over | 39c | 2,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 23c | 1,859$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…b556backed Over | 38c | 1,854$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.42 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 34c | 1,850$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.79 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 37c | 1,836$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.16 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 35c | 1,665$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.73 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed Under | 77c | 1,653$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 23c | 1,627$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.56 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 73c | 1,598$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…8669backed Over | 35c | 1,598$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 62c | 1,596$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Over | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Under | 80c | 1,529$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.07 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Under | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Over | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 64c | 1,476$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Under | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 28c | 1,378$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.86 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…8b35backed Over | 18c | 1,365$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 61c | 1,344$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.01 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 17c | 1,314$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 1,263$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.91 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.82 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…1d58backed Over | 18c | 1,074$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 75c | 1,069$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 61c | 1,050$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Under | 64c | 1,030$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 67c | 1,025$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Over | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.96 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.