Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c81a3e065619d59219c718d274d29251411012f36d701eb3be3a9cfebbad1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 4,342$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed No | 73c | 3,040$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 2,726$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 1,700$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 1,569$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…5ee1backed No | 74c | 646$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes | 24c | 628.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 27c | 535$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 22c | 440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 24c | 211.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 18c | 197.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 74c | 159$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 18c | 156.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…406bbacked Yes | 24c | 125.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…ca95backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 95.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…c47ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 72c | 71.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 28c | 71.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked No | 73c | 65.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…19ffbacked No | 78c | 44.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…9750backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 76c | 23.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.