TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$567,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$574,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over30c331,226$99,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,459.4117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under60c219,207$131,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,102.0174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over39c50,631$19,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,991.3114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c19,285$11,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,603.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c11,742$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.81,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Under61c9,011$5,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.361540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c8,002$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.152,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under60c8,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c7,787$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…e419backed Over7c6,972$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.313417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c6,162$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over8c3,927$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c3,767$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.132,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Over1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over26c3,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9522643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over32c3,263$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.4713447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Over34c2,929$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over16c2,813$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over39c2,544$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over38c2,368$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c2,254$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.411,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c2,034$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over18c2,021$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c1,822$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over39c1,790$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over18c1,680$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3422029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.923353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c1,348$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over40c1,234$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2628258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over37c1,215$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over39c1,187$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under60c1,038$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.2135251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under61c916$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2413860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over29c864.34$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.663315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c813.61$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over8c800$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.33735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under61c721.31$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3119750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c717.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over40c715.88$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3513736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3e…0e10backed Over41c592.49$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over35c555$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.257930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Over34c547.06$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over3c534.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over6c499.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over40c490.68$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.278831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over40c475$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under61c468.77$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over20c446.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.331,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over18c444.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16037051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over12c391.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.072,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c377.63$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under60c330.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.619148.7%93 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…b519backed Under63c314.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.986544.6%29 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146352.4%33 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over28c299$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.061,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over41c296.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.497222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under62c282.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Over38c280.74$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.685527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over40c271.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.533855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f8…6956backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over39c255$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under60c253.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over40c252.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over24c251.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over40c250.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under80c250.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0432356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.627837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under59c211$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.512,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c211$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.512,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over39c200.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0642332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7827939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…38aabacked Over26c199.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.823026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c184.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.271,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c155.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under78c155$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.113727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.