TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c5,587$173 inLost-$173.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over4c3,150$116 inLost-$116.2860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over3c3,027$102 inLost-$102.0411634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Over3c2,090$72 inLost-$72.07120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over3c1,571$50 inLost-$504311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Over4c945.95$35 inLost-$35849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over3c738.47$22 inLost-$22.0578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over3c499.99$14 inLost-$14.515225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over3c438.1$15 inLost-$153729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…381cbacked Over4c398.16$15 inLost-$15.131520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee3…b16bbacked Over3c386.67$12 inLost-$11.63112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab13…ee77backed Over3c358.33$11 inLost-$10.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.