TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7795…9a17backed Over49c6,076$3,001 inLost-$3,00110927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c4,956$2,478 inWon+$2,477.9153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over37c2,726$1,000 inLost-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under63c1,593$1,004 inWon+$589.4185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under53c1,250$662 inWon+$587.558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under64c698.5$444 inWon+$254.951,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over37c540.54$200 inLost-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under63c500$315 inWon+$1857247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under63c500$315 inWon+$18570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under63c492.11$310 inWon+$182.0816946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4317…100fbacked Under63c411.98$260 inWon+$152.433050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under48c405.51$193 inWon+$212.0182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over37c202.7$75 inLost-$757238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over37c171.44$63 inLost-$63.433,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under64c155.32$99 inWon+$5636350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c152.96$72 inLost-$71.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c147.96$75 inWon+$72.574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over45c120.18$54 inLost-$54.084012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Over73c111.5$81 inLost-$81.253943.6%17 W · 22 L-8.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under29c95$27 inWon+$67.645145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Over50c80$40 inLost-$4010547.6%50 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under63c40.56$26 inWon+$15.019552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Under55c40.18$22 inWon+$18.085127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d2…0de7backed Over50c40$20 inLost-$2010555.2%58 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over48c28$13 inLost-$13.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c16.16$10 inLost-$10.341,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.