TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$498,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed No3c62,621$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes47c22,780$10,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,073.2121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No52c21,090$10,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,977.5215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No54c20,056$10,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,751.4336247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c12,493$7,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yes48c9,865$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.588952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes47c8,161$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No4c7,750$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.682,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed No54c7,735$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1771861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed No53c6,780$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.459947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No53c6,500$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.8831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes47c6,431$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.464564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed No53c6,400$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39210734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2506434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9816258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c5,622$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes45c5,600$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.998847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes79c5,518$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.4920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No39c5,497$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed99…92cabacked No55c5,379$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No24c5,280$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.411,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92e…763dbacked No55c4,486$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No52c4,290$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.7515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No22c4,130$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.7634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No41c4,007$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.0340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed No54c3,975$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.488243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No29c3,608$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.4547032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No2c3,570$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed No29c3,446$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.45236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No19c3,333$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2714325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed No54c3,148$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7007751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Yes48c3,084$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed No65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Yes47c2,876$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.145046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No55c2,775$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Yes46c2,700$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45811963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed No54c2,686$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c2,579$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked No20c2,501$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027260.3%164 W · 108 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No55c2,429$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.9515642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.918341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c2,077$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.671,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes47c2,048$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.681,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes64c1,831$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes46c1,739$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.1312226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No54c1,543$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.952128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes58c1,540$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.85935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d26…5e33backed No53c1,483$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes48c1,446$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8322752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No54c1,370$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes52c1,369$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No25c1,258$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c1,250$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed No62c1,191$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.739662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c1,187$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1119825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes47c1,104$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.9363255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes47c1,096$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7421443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8335036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No19c1,020$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No53c999.94$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9730950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf075…3d58backed Yes45c995.35$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed No31c983.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.43565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+50.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c981.02$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c955$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes78c909.08$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes72c902.08$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed No68c892.1$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.632236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes46c860.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3119529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked No53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.525857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed No54c849$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4634751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4649017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…8e40backed No54c794.44$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4293537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde92…8159backed Yes80c753.65$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.655149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Yes42c707.14$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.146550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb9…5f34backed Yes80c662.5$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52075%15 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed No52c647.76$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No56c630.29$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9828042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32411246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c595.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.661,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked No68c588.68$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed No54c560$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.415042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked No53c537.74$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes65c526.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Yes76c516.63$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2864850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No54c510$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.425352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f37…1410backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.