Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffd6c96decd70c219a048f4abe89cf081f51773f971693a0101afc1139f2b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 3c | 62,621$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 47c | 22,780$10,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,073.21 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 52c | 21,090$10,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,977.52 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 54c | 20,056$10,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,751.43 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 12,493$7,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yes | 48c | 9,865$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.58 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 8,161$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 4c | 7,750$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0569…f656backed No | 54c | 7,735$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed No | 53c | 6,780$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.45 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 53c | 6,500$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.88 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…06d8backed Yes | 47c | 6,431$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.46 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +8.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed No | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.98 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 5,622$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 45c | 5,600$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 79c | 5,518$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.49 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 39c | 5,497$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.49 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…92cabacked No | 55c | 5,379$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 24c | 5,280$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.41 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…763dbacked No | 55c | 4,486$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 52c | 4,290$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.75 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 22c | 4,130$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.76 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 41c | 4,007$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.03 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed No | 54c | 3,975$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.48 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 29c | 3,608$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.45 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 2c | 3,570$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 29c | 3,446$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 19c | 3,333$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…8316backed No | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Yes | 48c | 3,084$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed No | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Yes | 47c | 2,876$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.14 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 2,775$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…23e2backed No | 54c | 2,686$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 2,579$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 20c | 2,501$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed No | 55c | 2,429$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.95 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 2,077$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.67 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,048$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 64c | 1,831$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.26 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 54c | 1,543$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Yes | 58c | 1,540$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…5e33backed No | 53c | 1,483$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.53 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 52c | 1,369$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.46 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 25c | 1,258$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.79 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 1,250$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 62c | 1,191$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.73 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 1,187$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 1,104$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.93 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 47c | 1,096$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.74 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 19c | 1,020$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 53c | 999.94$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3d58backed Yes | 45c | 995.35$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed No | 31c | 983.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 981.02$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 78c | 909.08$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 72c | 902.08$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 68c | 892.1$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 46c | 860.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.31 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked No | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed No | 54c | 849$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.46 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…8e40backed No | 54c | 794.44$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…8159backed Yes | 80c | 753.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…8509backed Yes | 42c | 707.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.14 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…5f34backed Yes | 80c | 662.5$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed No | 52c | 647.76$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 56c | 630.29$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 595.75$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.66 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked No | 68c | 588.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed No | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…e29fbacked No | 53c | 537.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 65c | 526.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Yes | 76c | 516.63$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 54c | 510$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.