Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e3d6c53ea1aca91a2dcd759c094813ef777bd0270442ab7d7ebf2b6a631382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 121,521$44,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,118.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 68c | 50,203$34,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,254.36 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 67c | 30,814$20,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,494.61 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,749.97 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 20,982$10,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,866.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 20,109$8,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,984.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 68c | 19,816$13,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,433.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Under | 32c | 13,877$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.5 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 13,657$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,226.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…1c30backed Over | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 9,735$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 7,732$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 67c | 6,340$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.39 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 41c | 5,976$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 35c | 5,488$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.1 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 64c | 5,300$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 31c | 5,070$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.29 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 2c | 4,880$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 4,818$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.63 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 53c | 4,765$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 3,828$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 30c | 3,665$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.5 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 32c | 3,473$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 3,447$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.8 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 3,380$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.14 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 3,263$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 56c | 2,899$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.62 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Over | 68c | 2,485$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 68c | 2,141$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Over | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 67c | 1,967$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.11 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3426…679cbacked Over | 68c | 1,609$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…9dd6backed Over | 67c | 1,564$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Over | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.72 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5d9abacked Over | 67c | 1,460$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.28 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Under | 32c | 1,396$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Over | 66c | 1,338$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.18 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 59c | 1,235$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 66c | 1,140$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…e611backed Over | 46c | 1,100$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Over | 66c | 1,063$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 53c | 1,008$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.44 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 50c | 990.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Under | 34c | 941.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.08 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 66c | 912.12$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…363dbacked Over | 68c | 902.81$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 60c | 834.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 34c | 797.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.42 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 65c | 791.38$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.4 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 68c | 760$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.52 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Over | 48c | 745.58$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 34c | 737.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…c927backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Over | 68c | 718.93$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.87 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569c…140dbacked Under | 56c | 714.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…5fc4backed Over | 68c | 690.53$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Under | 60c | 667.69$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.17 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Over | 47c | 663.83$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 50c | 639$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 45c | 634.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…ce14backed Over | 68c | 622.81$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.51 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 32c | 576.16$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 559.32$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.46 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Over | 70c | 506.41$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Over | 69c | 503.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 83 | 67.5%56 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 32c | 496.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…a8e7backed Over | 69c | 490.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Over | 68c | 482.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 32c | 459.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 32c | 446.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 32c | 422.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 33c | 413.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 42c | 406.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 50c | 405.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Over | 49c | 402.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 68c | 400.01$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 33c | 394.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…a5bcbacked Over | 67c | 392.28$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 25c | 389.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 51c | 369.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b7b2backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 49c | 343.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.