TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c121,521$44,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,118.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over68c50,203$34,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,254.3623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over67c30,814$20,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,494.6115843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over67c25,000$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,749.9712254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c20,982$10,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,866.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c20,109$8,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,984.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c19,816$13,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,433.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under32c13,877$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,436.57237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c13,657$4,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,226.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c9,735$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.381,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c7,732$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over67c6,340$4,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.3914351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over41c5,976$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.042433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over68c5,882$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under35c5,488$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over64c5,300$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under31c5,070$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.2938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over2c4,880$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c4,818$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over53c4,765$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.124148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c3,828$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under30c3,665$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c3,473$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over68c3,447$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.810051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c3,380$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c3,263$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.884,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over56c2,899$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.6222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over68c2,485$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over68c2,141$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.983432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9918929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over67c1,967$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.117844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3426…679cbacked Over68c1,609$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.151258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1956…9dd6backed Over67c1,564$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.831070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9817747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7215144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over67c1,482$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over67c1,460$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.288156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Under32c1,396$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.281637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over66c1,338$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.185236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over47c1,250$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over59c1,235$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over66c1,140$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over46c1,100$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…4525backed Over66c1,063$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under53c1,008$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4435034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43017544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Over68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.997865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.998450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over50c990.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under34c941.03$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.085740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over66c912.12$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d4…363dbacked Over68c902.81$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.912152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over60c834.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under34c797.35$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.4224843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over65c791.38$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.470648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over48c781.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37522951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over48c781.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37518051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over68c760$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Over48c745.58$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8811421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c737.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4882,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Over68c718.93$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.874067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x569c…140dbacked Under56c714.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9564…5fc4backed Over68c690.53$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under60c667.69$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1712846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over47c663.83$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over50c639$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8329636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over45c634.97$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over68c622.81$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.516940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under32c576.16$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.561,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over48c559.32$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.461,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…a5dfbacked Over70c506.41$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.499072.2%65 W · 25 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over69c503.42$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.368367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Under30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35022650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under32c496.59$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Over69c490.43$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.44658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over68c482.87$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.354544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under32c459.3$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c446.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.481,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under32c422.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.411,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under33c413.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8642853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c406.75$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.951,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over50c405.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Over49c402.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over68c400.01$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under33c394.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9442332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ce…a5bcbacked Over67c392.28$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.83540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over25c389.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over51c369.72$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e85…b7b2backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642520%5 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over49c343.65$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.191,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c335$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.754139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.445248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over67c328.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22027051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.