Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5ab21831331bb5b4b1d14180317ccd2245a52294b5ec4d59045b5f5f42a706

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $294,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $331,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	33,317$16,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,503.09	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	0c	21,025$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over	51c	18,411$9,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,944.67	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	51c	12,923$6,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,617.06	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	45c	10,050$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,506.65	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	27c	10,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.98	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	28c	7,897$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,175	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	46c	7,476$3,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,410.06	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	73c	7,378$5,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,992.06	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under	51c	6,630$3,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380.67	150	40%60 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	50c	6,217$3,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,089.99	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under	61c	4,022$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,464.3	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	49c	3,521$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.63	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over	80c	2,844$2,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.05	201	86.1%173 W · 28 L	+46.2wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over	40c	2,487$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.52	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	59c	2,445$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.56	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under	27c	2,168$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.92	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over	74c	2,100$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.85	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	26c	2,072$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.79	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under	7c	2,038$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.14	138	13%18 W · 120 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under	55c	1,888$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.72	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47da…b99fbacked Under	27c	1,840$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+37%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	50c	1,714$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.93	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	39c	1,680$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.07	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	63c	1,534$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.12	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Under	9c	1,431$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.85	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+115.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under	16c	1,400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Under	43c	1,305$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.92	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under	13c	1,300$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	71c	1,268$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.61	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	47c	1,187$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	71c	1,133$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.03	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under	16c	1,089$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.94	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+525.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over	52c	1,016$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.16	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed Under	10c	966.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	62c	960.55$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.55	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under	10c	900$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	112	16.1%18 W · 94 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	72c	827.94$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.94	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under	19c	767.5$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.26	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under	19c	764.14$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.83	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+12.4wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	25c	755.23$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.81	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	72c	742.75$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.66	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over	36c	738.89$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.89	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under	14c	728$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.8	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under	7c	727.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under	40c	704.94$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.75	236	37.7%89 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	26c	684.63$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.79	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	30c	660.41$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.94	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over	44c	650.77$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.43	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	27c	623.91$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.16	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd115…065dbacked Over	46c	599.99$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under	11c	599.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	99	12.1%12 W · 87 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	73c	573.98$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.97	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under	2c	549.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742d…8b48backed Over	73c	523.17$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.27	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under	57c	500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	73c	500$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	2c	499.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa846…9e69backed Over	75c	475.11$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.78	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d4…7303backed Over	51c	472.55$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.55	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over	38c	450$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	41c	443.5$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.71	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c8…1e91backed Over	73c	410.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.96	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over	54c	399.99$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	170	40%68 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	26c	392.87$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	51c	391.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.82	276	55.1%152 W · 124 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	5c	389$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under	5c	388.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under	26c	385.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under	31c	384.37$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.15	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under	51c	381.39$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.51	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	57c	372.49$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.94	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	154	55.8%86 W · 68 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over	46c	368$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.72	150	44%66 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	38c	361.79$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.23	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	17c	359.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under	43c	358.59$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.09	98	35.7%35 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under	15c	356.31$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	92	21.7%20 W · 72 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	5c	339$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	34c	310.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.4	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over	74c	300$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.85	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+10.2wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over	70c	300$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.07	67	65.7%44 W · 23 L	+12.4wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	41c	300$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8641…cb25backed Over	36c	280.65$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.65	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	40c	265.23$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.72	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over	74c	252.7$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.7	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Over	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event