Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf1e1dcd33418e3244a85f78bab866a2ce08b1d87d605073ac250edfa63271f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $269,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $286,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,448 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	6c	78,412$4,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,520.61	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Under	7c	23,719$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.34	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	6c	16,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under	6c	9,071$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.26	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	7c	7,621$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.98	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	6c	4,150$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under	5c	4,030$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.5	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Under	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…767cbacked Under	7c	3,875$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	7c	3,310$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.68	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under	6c	3,222$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.33	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	5c	2,833$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.37	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	11c	2,818$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.04	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under	6c	1,820$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.5	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under	7c	1,792$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.43	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	12c	1,316$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.45	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	5c	1,270$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.52	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	9c	1,099$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2301…78cfbacked Under	13c	1,038$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under	12c	900$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	2c	899.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under	6c	883.33$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b9…a053backed Under	10c	775.8$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.58	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	14c	714.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	5c	593.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under	9c	555.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	9c	554.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.43	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f70…afc9backed Under	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	14c	499.93$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under	6c	456.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6baa…0276backed Under	9c	407.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	10c	360.53$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.38	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Under	10c	334.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.42	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616a…5083backed Under	9c	324.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	5c	308.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Under	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	5c	299.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	6c	272$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…f50fbacked Under	7c	271.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	6c	201.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-5.9wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22c6…d313backed Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Under	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…7a89backed Under	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Under	6c	195$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	8c	176.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Under	8c	162.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Under	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	15c	138$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c0…f6c1backed Under	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	170	24.1%41 W · 129 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event