TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cf7…767c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$903.26
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+206.5%+$1,367.62
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$966
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$353.81
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$148.57
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+158.6%+$1,046.58
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$172.42
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,726.72
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$221
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+169.7%+$444.63
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$888.9
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$143
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+142.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.86
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,807Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$968.92
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$183.06
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+79.5%+$1,677.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ryan Jeffers: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$362.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Saints: 1H O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+130.5%+$232.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$255.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,059.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Bbacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lindenwood Lions vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$387.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.