NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0304bc4c81ad318a0fd6b5d1e9ac9577607d6ea3627d749f64bac2b15b6fc8a6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Kings, Thunder
Resolved: Nov 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,502,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,489,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,502,868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0140…9028backed Kings	7c	143,700$10,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,059	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings	7c	102,047$6,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,913.29	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings	7c	92,679$6,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,872.44	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings	6c	72,742$4,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,349.9	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…329bbacked Kings	0c	40,125$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Kings	6c	39,998$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.89	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings	7c	37,410$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,618.69	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Kings	6c	34,409$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,064.53	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings	8c	27,399$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.99	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Kings	0c	25,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings	7c	20,246$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.83	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Kings	0c	20,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Kings	7c	18,862$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings	6c	17,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings	7c	17,125$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.75	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings	0c	15,629$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kings	6c	15,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Kings	7c	14,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Kings	1c	12,671$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.88	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Kings	7c	12,012$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.81	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings	5c	11,906$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.14	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings	8c	11,550$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings	4c	11,100$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.54	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Kings	7c	9,305$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.38	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings	5c	7,799$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.08	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Kings	7c	7,473$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.59	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings	7c	7,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Kings	6c	6,666$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.96	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings	1c	6,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings	7c	6,156$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.91	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Kings	6c	6,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings	0c	5,905$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Kings	5c	5,838$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.48	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Kings	7c	5,800$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings	1c	5,630$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Kings	8c	5,362$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…bfadbacked Kings	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Kings	7c	4,286$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Kings	8c	4,199$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.94	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bcd…0aa5backed Kings	8c	4,104$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.3	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c1…d93abacked Kings	7c	3,855$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Kings	6c	3,200$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Kings	4c	3,158$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39c…2bbbbacked Kings	8c	3,124$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings	0c	3,099$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Kings	7c	3,028$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Kings	7c	2,900$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Kings	6c	2,800$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Kings	6c	2,573$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.46	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…e8ffbacked Kings	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+68.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2858…ff7fbacked Kings	7c	2,300$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Kings	4c	2,125$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings	6c	2,120$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings	2c	2,045$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Kings	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Kings	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8086…a1debacked Kings	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Kings	8c	2,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	182	39%71 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings	8c	1,800$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…767cbacked Kings	8c	1,788$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Kings	6c	1,554$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Kings	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…6203backed Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…72bebacked Kings	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings	6c	1,343$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.59	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings	6c	1,334$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.77	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf47d…9c85backed Kings	7c	1,286$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a6…574dbacked Kings	3c	1,280$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.41	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Kings	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4942…39cbbacked Kings	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd70…ce91backed Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…c0b2backed Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd2…3434backed Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca7…cf42backed Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f7…c23abacked Kings	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings	9c	1,198$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.82	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings	4c	1,189$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.48	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Kings	7c	1,150$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Kings	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9e…bf57backed Kings	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…df6bbacked Kings	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2177…c50bbacked Kings	8c	1,100$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…007bbacked Kings	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccc…ae75backed Kings	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976f…0c5bbacked Kings	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…9e60backed Kings	8c	1,100$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c5…d7f3backed Kings	8c	1,100$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Kings	6c	1,023$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.98	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…66edbacked Kings	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed Kings	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings	5c	986.62$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Kings	8c	955.55$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…8d80backed Kings	6c	928.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings	1c	913.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kings vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Kings won
Kings vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Kings won
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Kings won
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Kings won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event