TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e79…ff8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 64 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST17456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$488.24
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+109.1%+$109.09
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+90.6%+$90.62
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$277.91
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$181.9
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+300%+$300
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$232.24
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+125.4%+$379.33
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.1%+$116.12
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+215.1%+$258.09
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+31.3%+$47.01
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+64.4%+$64.44
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+440.8%+$352.64
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+172.2%+$119.72
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$6.06
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Samsunspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.