TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Anisimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Sabalenka68c46,388$31,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,801.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Anisimova20c36,216$7,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,084.28,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka70c27,122$18,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,190.155950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Anisimova35c20,277$7,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,042.0616644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Anisimova30c19,407$5,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,811.14944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Anisimova37c17,595$6,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,572.351,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sabalenka68c16,040$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,139.6324544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Sabalenka72c15,006$10,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.572166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Sabalenka51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3507047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Sabalenka67c11,528$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Anisimova31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10015048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Sabalenka69c9,904$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.098052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Anisimova24c9,358$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.542,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Anisimova36c8,958$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.8939144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Sabalenka60c8,335$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Anisimova47c8,247$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.472347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anisimova34c7,245$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.9811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Anisimova32c6,972$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.047857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Anisimova17c6,398$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.3527431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Sabalenka78c5,864$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sabalenka66c5,841$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.4328952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Anisimova35c5,533$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.1265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sabalenka60c4,852$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9526,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee05…812fbacked Anisimova32c3,875$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.131040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Anisimova30c3,701$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Sabalenka73c3,602$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.4818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Sabalenka70c3,500$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.1611852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Anisimova44c3,476$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.8538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Anisimova24c3,280$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed Anisimova27c3,252$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8631127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Anisimova31c3,050$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.58721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Anisimova34c2,938$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.8922629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Anisimova30c2,686$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.833941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Anisimova27c2,635$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.482,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Sabalenka59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anisimova30c2,489$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9762742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82d…1a99backed Anisimova31c2,207$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0f…369fbacked Sabalenka69c2,157$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Sabalenka62c2,119$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.7564755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabalenka61c2,012$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Anisimova14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Anisimova43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Sabalenka68c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Anisimova32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Anisimova37c1,755$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.75151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Anisimova35c1,727$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Sabalenka66c1,567$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.686100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Sabalenka71c1,566$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.179264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Anisimova32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Anisimova30c1,560$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.651,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sabalenka61c1,459$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0260053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Anisimova25c1,410$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Anisimova33c1,400$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Anisimova30c1,366$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4611843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Sabalenka66c1,361$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.4151243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0575…7e28backed Sabalenka69c1,336$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Anisimova30c1,313$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.264930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Anisimova28c1,306$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Anisimova34c1,300$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7812442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5f…65c8backed Sabalenka60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Sabalenka54c1,291$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sabalenka68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Anisimova25c1,223$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.022,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Sabalenka73c1,219$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.123066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Anisimova44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e2…7465backed Anisimova31c1,132$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Sabalenka70c1,114$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.19961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed Sabalenka54c1,114$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.091844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Anisimova27c1,100$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29322641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Anisimova19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…970bbacked Anisimova31c1,036$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Sabalenka70c1,032$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.723265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6dd…219ebacked Anisimova31c1,025$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc9…271abacked Anisimova31c1,023$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Anisimova31c1,010$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.164835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a8a…0d93backed Sabalenka69c1,009$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc3…e92ebacked Anisimova34c1,002$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a8…20f9backed Sabalenka69c1,002$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Anisimova30c1,001$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Anisimova31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Sabalenka66c999.97$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Anisimova30c999.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.986126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a94…e2c6backed Sabalenka69c997$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Anisimova30c995$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6d…74cdbacked Anisimova31c989$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3688…d794backed Sabalenka69c977$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7751…30ccbacked Anisimova31c976$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…5065backed Anisimova31c965$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…0040backed Sabalenka69c945$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Anisimova32c934.38$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29924852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Anisimova34c920.5$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.941,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Sabalenka64c902.52$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5918933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2a…2090backed Sabalenka69c862$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8b…b3c3backed Sabalenka71c850.63$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Anisimova34c836.38$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.379149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Anisimova24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Anisimova31c822.89$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Sabalenka73c821.87$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8714663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova32c818.63$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9455143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Anisimova32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.