TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf374…ce1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+314.2%+$3,209.49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,452.29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$1,724.67
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$4,561.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,197.44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$37.26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.27
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,554.64
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$2,997.08
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,609.29
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+228.1%+$2,709.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,794Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38%+$1,822.81
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,540.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+30.9%+$1,609.34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,487.71
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$860.49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39%+$2,126.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,719.22
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64.4
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,634.98
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$24,000
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+239%+$276.36
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$242.13
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$4,001.02
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$41.25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,859
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$6,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,261.59
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,638.98
Will England win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.85
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38,854Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45,610.79
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,459.98
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4,549.98
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$601
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.96
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$545
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$367
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.3
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$3,279.91
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5,119.95
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$449.84
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,156
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$460
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$222.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+52.2%+$2,731.52
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,002.75
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+63.9%+$246.43
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$755.98
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,850Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+25%+$1,462.61
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$1,720.41
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$1,050
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+53.6%+$1,393.47
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$1,280.93
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$60.9
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+29.9%+$276
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$559.96
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+44.9%+$668
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+53.8%+$700
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+177.8%+$189.26
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,702Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+69.5%+$1,877.91
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+156.4%+$1,097.97
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,947Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+28.2%+$1,113.13
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$582.09
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$769.64
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+28.7%+$438.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$440.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,262.81
Istanbul 2: Kristina Penickova vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,200.99
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$208
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$796.2
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$2,110.39
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+46%+$1,291.77
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,450
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrutbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26%+$1,237.26
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$870
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,804Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4,201.57
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$8,865.38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$760.96
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+25.1%+$102.19
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,664.35
Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.3
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+41.4%+$102.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$549.72
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+212.5%+$680
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+100%+$196.91
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$1,287.98
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+89.7%+$3,692.02
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+104%+$13.7
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$476
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$242.14
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$540
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$1,350
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+28.6%+$889.99
Titans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$359.99
49ers vs. Jetsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$755.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$837.19
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$733.53
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.54
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.22
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.5%+$2,026.43
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$512.49
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will Crystal Palace beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.04
Will Liverpool beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.11
Will Crystal Palace vs West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Brighton beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+150%+$303
Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$170.31
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,395.25
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,906Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+340.2%+$6,484.19
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,613.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$392.27
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.84
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the USA win gold in the Women’s 4x100m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$46
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$42
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$950
Will Gabrielle Thomas (USA) win gold in 200m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$213.9
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+137.9%+$79.38
Will Oblique Seville (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$48
Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$614.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$293.83
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,534.14
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.6
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,063.58
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$680.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.7
Kape vs. Silvabacked Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+38.9%+$169.12
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,241.97
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+47.1%+$328
Blanchfield vs. Namajunasbacked Blanchfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$102.83
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$349.99
Magomedov vs. Petrosyanbacked Petrosyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$985.39
Dawson vs. Garciabacked Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$339.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will the Guardians beat the Tigers?backed Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$509.49
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$314.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$1,064.38
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$716.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$3,387
WNBA: Liberty vs. Dream Game 1backed Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+177.8%+$292.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB beat FK RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+72.1%+$4,609.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$3,446.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$352.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,687.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win Gold in Men's Golf?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.