NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36356afa2896d858e2512e215ef8b7ca0afb4874583917c4827941da9b1bd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Warriors, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 75c | 33,120$24,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,931.88 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Spurs | 18c | 13,775$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,295.69 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Warriors | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Spurs | 38c | 6,111$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 34c | 5,711$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.81 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Warriors | 80c | 4,995$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 11c | 4,323$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 13c | 3,530$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.26 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Warriors | 36c | 3,513$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.23 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5d7abacked Warriors | 59c | 2,995$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 36c | 2,839$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.63 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 59c | 2,540$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Spurs | 41c | 2,433$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.49 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Spurs | 34c | 2,209$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.74 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 41c | 2,000$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs | 28c | 1,731$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Warriors | 68c | 1,644$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 36c | 1,503$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Spurs | 31c | 1,450$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.67 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Warriors | 70c | 1,448$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.16 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 40c | 1,273$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.68 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 34c | 1,248$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.86 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Warriors | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Spurs | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Warriors | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Warriors | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Warriors | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Spurs | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Spurs | 40c | 999.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Spurs | 41c | 999.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.82 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Warriors | 59c | 960.57$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 20c | 944.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.82 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Warriors | 78c | 914.67$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.41 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Warriors | 19c | 885.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Warriors | 4c | 845.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Spurs | 39c | 825.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…d93bbacked Warriors | 61c | 790.37$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Warriors | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Spurs | 14c | 712.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.71 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 71c | 699.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Warriors | 60c | 642.27$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Spurs | 39c | 577.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.97 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Spurs | 35c | 566.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…9c51backed Spurs | 41c | 562.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Warriors | 60c | 549.51$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.18 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 59c | 529.26$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs | 18c | 528.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.04 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Spurs | 20c | 523.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 72c | 499.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.48 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Spurs | 62c | 458.8$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.11 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 33c | 447.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.45 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Warriors | 74c | 429.92$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Spurs | 43c | 423.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Warriors | 7c | 422.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Spurs | 41c | 409.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Spurs | 16c | 401.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Warriors | 68c | 400.78$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs | 32c | 400$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.33 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Warriors | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Spurs | 26c | 394.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…0e53backed Spurs | 17c | 392.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d0c8backed Warriors | 61c | 376.05$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Spurs | 38c | 372.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…7ee9backed Warriors | 53c | 356.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs | 28c | 352.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Warriors | 72c | 349.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…c139backed Warriors | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Warriors | 45c | 337.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…2314backed Warriors | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Warriors | 63c | 331.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Warriors | 70c | 323.73$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Warriors | 78c | 310$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Spurs | 35c | 265.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…1588backed Warriors | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Warriors | 59c | 254.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Spurs | 40c | 250.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Warriors | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 59c | 249.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…ae68backed Warriors | 78c | 243.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Warriors | 62c | 237.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9435…02dbbacked Spurs | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Warriors | 63c | 225.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Warriors | 21c | 206.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Warriors | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…2a91backed Warriors | 68c | 203.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Warriors | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Spurs | 31c | 197.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…87f4backed Warriors | 60c | 196.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Spurs | 31c | 187.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Warriors | 62c | 181$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Warriors | 39c | 180.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.