TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Trail Blazers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7c1…1215backed Trail Blazers1c9,956$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Spurs63c7,357$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.173748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs75c6,168$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.0147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcd…165cbacked Trail Blazers40c4,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Spurs60c3,500$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.415950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Trail Blazers25c3,390$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8504045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Trail Blazers7c3,358$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1411719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs75c3,151$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Trail Blazers40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd009…4ca4backed Spurs62c2,420$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+97.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers31c2,272$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.541,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Spurs61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3428063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5d…69fbbacked Spurs62c1,605$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe358…0de0backed Trail Blazers21c1,545$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.63520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Trail Blazers36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c1…9c35backed Trail Blazers40c1,498$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Spurs60c1,351$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2123648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs60c1,321$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers7c1,254$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.851,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers32c1,247$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.0861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Trail Blazers31c1,200$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Trail Blazers39c1,194$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.114951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Trail Blazers39c1,129$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.23050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers37c1,085$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Spurs60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Trail Blazers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs69c985.71$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.711,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Spurs61c985.36$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.291838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Trail Blazers38c875.21$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers25c850.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.681,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Spurs59c849.91$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4616242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs78c796.33$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Trail Blazers38c745.98$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Spurs60c550.82$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.822560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Spurs61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19510462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddd…5a93backed Trail Blazers41c490.24$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad5d…f0c2backed Spurs61c490.16$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7722…ee4bbacked Trail Blazers38c452.51$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.962334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Trail Blazers22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992825%7 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Trail Blazers41c419.79$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.115028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers36c409.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3318316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Trail Blazers39c400$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1578547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Trail Blazers38c399.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9912247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Trail Blazers8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Spurs59c336.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.943839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs75c330.79$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1626934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Spurs62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Trail Blazers37c308.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.631330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Trail Blazers40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe392…1c24backed Spurs61c299$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Spurs65c291.39$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Trail Blazers38c289.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0616443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Trail Blazers29c288.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.383056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Trail Blazers36c279.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.798232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6756…de48backed Spurs61c274.52$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x868a…c96bbacked Trail Blazers41c274.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Trail Blazers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Trail Blazers41c231.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c32…4958backed Spurs60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Trail Blazers25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Trail Blazers36c199.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40e…e0b6backed Trail Blazers44c196.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a9…fe1dbacked Spurs61c192.64$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a79…2558backed Trail Blazers41c192.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642a…e166backed Spurs61c192.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb66…6196backed Trail Blazers41c192.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Trail Blazers36c181.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Spurs62c175$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.54656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf871…7cf7backed Trail Blazers40c171.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Spurs62c161.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Spurs62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Spurs63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Spurs64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac26…ff5dbacked Spurs70c153$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.753161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4e…bfb2backed Spurs66c151.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Trail Blazers37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…7294backed Spurs60c146.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers34c135.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Trail Blazers12c133.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5811332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Spurs60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3310054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b37…1dc5backed Trail Blazers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Trail Blazers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcac0…78debacked Spurs61c120.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a89…33f9backed Trail Blazers40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1267…7c97backed Spurs61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…b460backed Trail Blazers39c110.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…986ebacked Spurs62c109.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.681070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83d…2449backed Spurs61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb398…170abacked Spurs61c106.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19af…0d40backed Trail Blazers41c106.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf0…eda3backed Trail Blazers41c104.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Spurs61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Trail Blazers38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Trail Blazers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6a…a421backed Trail Blazers38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa87…721abacked Trail Blazers38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Trail Blazers37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.