TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe358…0de0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$50.6
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+41.7%+$64.72
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$340.03
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.7%+$83.35
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Rio Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200.62
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+210.6%+$406.8
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$384.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$243.99
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$325.63
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$55.66
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+198.6%+$238.09
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$163.13
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.45
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$227.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+151%+$35.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.