Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816c257c91af04d1333e744c96e0a46fe8f8d5664a5b8b8277d6af11f6538972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Alcarazof Carlos Alcaraz, Arthur Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,223,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,223,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 118,955$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.52 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 78,152$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.96 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 17c | 43,768$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Arthur Rinderknech | 21c | 41,917$8,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,745.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…eecdbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 0c | 40,860$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Arthur Rinderknech | 9c | 30,917$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.37 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 38c | 28,914$10,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,870.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 8c | 28,111$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.89 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Carlos Alcaraz | 74c | 27,961$20,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 6c | 20,833$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.67 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Rinderknech | 39c | 14,863$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,737.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Arthur Rinderknech | 0c | 11,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Arthur Rinderknech | 24c | 10,254$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Arthur Rinderknech | 12c | 8,038$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Rinderknech | 14c | 6,448$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Arthur Rinderknech | 18c | 6,443$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 6,164$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 80c | 5,500$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.1 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Arthur Rinderknech | 8c | 5,487$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.48 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Carlos Alcaraz | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 4,998$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.58 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 16c | 4,800$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 55c | 4,287$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.48 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Arthur Rinderknech | 45c | 3,646$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…7f1ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 78c | 3,280$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Arthur Rinderknech | 22c | 3,200$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.29 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arthur Rinderknech | 10c | 2,777$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Arthur Rinderknech | 13c | 2,755$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Carlos Alcaraz | 66c | 2,727$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.97 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 2,569$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 2,445$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Arthur Rinderknech | 45c | 2,113$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Arthur Rinderknech | 19c | 1,852$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Carlos Alcaraz | 78c | 1,802$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 1,679$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arthur Rinderknech | 11c | 1,582$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 1,493$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Arthur Rinderknech | 14c | 1,471$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 1,407$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Arthur Rinderknech | 22c | 1,375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…ad4dbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 1c | 1,375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 1,276$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Arthur Rinderknech | 1c | 1,260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 1,198$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Arthur Rinderknech | 8c | 1,169$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Carlos Alcaraz | 71c | 1,159$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 8c | 1,158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arthur Rinderknech | 3c | 1,097$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 1,074$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Arthur Rinderknech | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Arthur Rinderknech | 10c | 980.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Arthur Rinderknech | 3c | 955$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 15c | 916.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Arthur Rinderknech | 6c | 893.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…b56abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 56c | 806.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 802$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.25 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Arthur Rinderknech | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Carlos Alcaraz | 80c | 788.4$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Carlos Alcaraz | 69c | 787.15$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 66c | 771.75$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Carlos Alcaraz | 75c | 758.81$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Arthur Rinderknech | 15c | 723.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 63c | 707.35$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.16 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 677$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 658.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 637.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 602.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 598.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 587.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Arthur Rinderknech | 11c | 579.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Arthur Rinderknech | 18c | 528.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 13c | 518$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 507$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 501.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Arthur Rinderknech | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 494.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 481.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 462.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…db12backed Arthur Rinderknech | 22c | 435.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…20c7backed Arthur Rinderknech | 12c | 426.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 420.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Arthur Rinderknech | 24c | 411.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Arthur Rinderknech | 7c | 411.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Arthur Rinderknech | 5c | 407.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Carlos Alcaraz | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 73c | 386$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 379.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Arthur Rinderknech | 13c | 378.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 334$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 324.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…9f11backed Arthur Rinderknech | 4c | 313.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed Arthur Rinderknech | 19c | 312.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Carlos Alcaraz | 70c | 311.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs RinderknechRinderknech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.