TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed02…85f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT11937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$383.61
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$631.72
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cobolli vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Jodar vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+94%+$94.04
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$383.61
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.53
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$6,370
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$654.55
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$486.44
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$567
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,008
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$396.39
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,070
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,440
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$1,972.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$1,276.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US strikes Iraq by March 31backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$870.83
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+123.2%+$2,463.99
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.