TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Struff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8718…5040backed Sinner75c13,000$9,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.9314264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Struff39c11,850$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,570.612133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Struff36c6,793$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.9458232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Sinner62c6,551$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.5545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Struff25c6,007$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.741,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Sinner60c5,805$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.955151%26 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner63c3,849$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.211,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Sinner64c3,699$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.545848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Struff25c3,396$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84935955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Sinner63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11017149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9217…ce22backed Struff38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sinner59c2,128$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.712,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Struff37c2,038$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.92,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Struff38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006349.2%31 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Struff42c1,196$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked Sinner63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.071457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Sinner55c999.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9835439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Struff28c875.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Sinner63c812.7$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.72951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Struff41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Sinner56c703.62$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.458552.9%45 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1809…3e9ebacked Sinner59c671.18$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Struff46c651.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Sinner63c626.97$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.987345.2%33 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner63c623.84$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7826263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner59c571.81$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.447,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Struff26c535$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.432,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sinner50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Struff28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Struff37c449.26$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.577,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Struff38c429.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.376146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Struff45c428.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8611457%65 W · 49 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Sinner71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Struff25c417.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.471,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Struff49c401.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.683948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Struff38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Struff51c393.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Struff25c360$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Struff36c350$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Sinner68c341.91$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.413658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Struff38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Sinner58c297.12$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.821,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Sinner56c288.3$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7412258.2%71 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Sinner63c282.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.544052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Sinner62c275$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x062c…24d5backed Struff28c264.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.647529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Struff44c261.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe048…02edbacked Sinner61c256.59$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Struff42c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.58334.9%29 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Struff38c241.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9610656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Struff42c224.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9479855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Struff45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Struff41c219.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1921937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Struff45c217.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Struff38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7625051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Struff50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Struff38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Sinner79c190.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.914463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Struff47c178.19$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7548935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked Sinner63c173.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…2a32backed Sinner63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Sinner62c154.73$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.85549.1%27 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Struff47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.447335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Struff25c144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3687854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Sinner63c142.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8638951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad3…63c2backed Struff38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Sinner63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.325352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Sinner80c123.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6415646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Struff25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Sinner62c116.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398e…1277backed Sinner64c114.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edd…e64abacked Struff45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Struff50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked Sinner60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012753.5%68 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Struff37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Struff37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9911253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9500…8b3fbacked Struff37c93.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Struff38c91.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.954,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Struff52c90.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4734047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Struff33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Struff17c88.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Struff39c86.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.848459.5%50 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Sinner64c86.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2724159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Struff35c83.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913334.6%46 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Sinner63c82.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5123352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Struff38c81.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3134748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f9…1cfabacked Struff38c81.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a19…ad3abacked Sinner63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Struff38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Struff38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024556.3%138 W · 107 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Sinner63c78.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.986567.7%44 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Struff25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2533550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Struff38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Struff50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Struff38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Sinner61c65.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6562952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Struff38c64.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.385570.9%39 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90f5…2573backed Sinner63c61.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Sinner54c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.43360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Struff25c55.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8194255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.