Tennis · resolved market
Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ff7bc05e836c1fac5876f6e1cd8279bce655680e7440105a2185661abb22ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.5 | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under 3.5 | 60c | 925$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 62c | 394.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under 3.5 | 61c | 337.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…df97backed Over 3.5 | 15c | 310.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over 3.5 | 35c | 306.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Over 3.5 | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Under 3.5 | 65c | 246.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over 3.5 | 14c | 242.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over 3.5 | 40c | 176.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Over 3.5 | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.5 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 3.5 | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Over 3.5 | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under 3.5 | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 3.5 | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over 3.5 | 27c | 76.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…5f73backed Under 3.5 | 64c | 68.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over 3.5 | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over 3.5 | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.5 | 57c | 48.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…3fb4backed Over 3.5 | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…9613backed Over 3.5 | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.