Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Struff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff8ab1744c2f9a13de52476f0f3d02c38cca41922ce174d2238312060bbd6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Struff | 2c | 1,435$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinner | 78c | 607.32$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinner | 80c | 544.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…6381backed Struff | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Struff | 23c | 439.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Struff | 22c | 366.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Struff | 23c | 353$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Struff | 17c | 317.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Struff | 20c | 286.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Sinner | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Struff | 16c | 153.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sinner | 79c | 143.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinner | 77c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Sinner | 78c | 80.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Struff | 25c | 77.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Struff | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Struff | 22c | 57.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Struffthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.