Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Struff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5872a9f8ab9402baf7213ff1619cd7ebeffb662657141bde39f22c164b195a50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Struff | 19c | 1,483$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Struff | 12c | 920.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Struff | 24c | 857.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinner | 74c | 796.73$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Sinner | 75c | 716.27$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinner | 73c | 605.53$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Struff | 30c | 535.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinner | 75c | 467.29$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Struff | 55c | 445$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Struff | 23c | 387.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Sinner | 66c | 303.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Struff | 35c | 288.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Struff | 16c | 274.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinner | 47c | 267.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sinner | 76c | 226.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Struff | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…f8f2backed Struff | 32c | 157.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Sinner | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Struff | 32c | 140.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Struff | 18c | 140.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sinner | 67c | 127.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Struff | 34c | 118.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Sinner | 77c | 115.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sinner | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Struff | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sinner | 70c | 85.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Struff | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Struff | 34c | 74.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sinner | 69c | 72.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Struff | 26c | 66.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinner | 69c | 64.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527b…31d0backed Struff | 29c | 64.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Struff | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Sinner | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Sinner | 65c | 45.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Sinner | 66c | 45.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sinner | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Struff | 32c | 41.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Sinner | 68c | 39.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Sinner | 78c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sinner | 77c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Sinner | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Struffthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.