Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Struff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb48a239c7545b0598d11a0ad51942485aef68b8b444605b9c248ebfeb6e60b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Struff | 25c | 3,914$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.03 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Struff | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Sinner | 76c | 1,715$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Struff | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinner | 72c | 1,140$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Struff | 6c | 780.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Struff | 15c | 758.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Struff | 25c | 752$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Struff | 28c | 709.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Sinner | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Sinner | 72c | 588.65$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Struff | 25c | 588$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinner | 75c | 569$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Sinner | 65c | 540$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Struff | 30c | 535.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…ed8bbacked Sinner | 76c | 507.97$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Struff | 24c | 504.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Struff | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…6381backed Struff | 22c | 481.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Struff | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Struff | 24c | 422.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sinner | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…401abacked Sinner | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Sinner | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Struff | 17c | 360.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…8f9ebacked Struff | 34c | 287.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sinner | 80c | 229.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Struff | 21c | 221$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Struff | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Struff | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sinner | 78c | 165.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Sinner | 73c | 152.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Sinner | 70c | 131.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Sinner | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Struff | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Struff | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Sinner | 79c | 124.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Sinner | 76c | 114.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sinner | 78c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Struff | 23c | 108.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Struff | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…dd4cbacked Sinner | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Struff | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Struff | 31c | 84.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Sinner | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Sinner | 76c | 73.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Struff | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Struff | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Sinner | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Struff | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Sinner | 75c | 64.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Struff | 36c | 61.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Struff | 25c | 54.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Sinner | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Sinner | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sinner | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Sinner | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Sinner | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sinner | 78c | 18.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Sinner | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 303 | 46.5%141 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Sinner | 76c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Struffthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs StruffSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard StruffJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.