TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62a3…52db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43%+$21.5
Hanfmann vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$45.77
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.14
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.79
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.39
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Michelsen vs. Tien: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.08
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Thomas Faurelbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Remy Bertolabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.89
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$118.19
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.