Tennis · resolved market
Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75b6f7f8cc44b9f081a48e7ac6c0e3986219461011a84297e779baae370a475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 844$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under 3.5 | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 319.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 269.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 247.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 222.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 219.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 108.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 76.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 57.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 50.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 44.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 43.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…296dbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Buse vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Buse vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev won
- Set 1 Winner: Buse vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Rublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Buse (+2.5)Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.