TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6207…2356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT7751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.42
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Auger-Aliassime vs. Burruchaga: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Putintseva vs. Osorio: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Facundo Acosta vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Acosta vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$58.49
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Yulia Starodubtseva vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.41
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.