TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,537,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,190,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,537,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes2c400,066$8,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,716.391529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes3c117,479$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.4316927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes3c49,445$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.5621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes3c46,359$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.921030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes4c44,298$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.771428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes3c44,058$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.779516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes3c40,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes3c40,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes3c34,116$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.137413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes4c33,512$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes3c28,579$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.714112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-82.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6727…5b6dbacked Yes4c22,480$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes4c20,871$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.856454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c17,080$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.714920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes3c16,612$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.147114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes4c16,445$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.598743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebb…1c0dbacked Yes7c14,338$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes3c13,128$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8313122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes4c12,966$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.5313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes3c12,964$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6611058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Yes3c12,826$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.64170%0 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes3c9,885$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.142740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes3c9,008$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3f…545dbacked Yes4c6,396$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7792…2f38backed Yes3c6,098$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c5,951$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.172021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe577…6c42backed Yes3c5,700$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.64468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c5,357$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40541.9%1 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…464dbacked Yes4c5,129$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes2c5,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.45623.2%13 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes4c5,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes2c4,961$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.213710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db2…19a9backed Yes3c4,935$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c4,910$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b67…3699backed Yes4c4,480$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes3c4,464$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.691705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd9…39bfbacked Yes4c4,422$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes5c4,254$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008223.2%19 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2680…d39cbacked Yes4c3,781$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…1d31backed Yes3c3,752$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yes3c3,609$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes3c3,571$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8876…34c9backed Yes3c3,406$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…357cbacked Yes3c3,359$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e58…a3d2backed Yes5c3,288$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1864…fb0dbacked Yes4c3,218$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1247…3949backed Yes5c3,179$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ca…3d5dbacked Yes3c3,168$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe076…def7backed Yes4c3,135$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e2…eb76backed Yes5c3,124$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20f…0aa0backed Yes5c3,110$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2471…7796backed Yes3c3,101$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.23484.2%2 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79da…80e9backed Yes5c3,049$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816c…24aebacked Yes4c3,044$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0206…ef6abacked Yes4c3,044$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd062…72f0backed Yes4c2,830$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ef…9debbacked Yes5c2,789$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d99…7e57backed Yes2c2,773$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes3c2,715$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1624247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5d…2754backed Yes4c2,653$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…d6efbacked Yes5c2,634$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364f…f661backed Yes4c2,632$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c39…aa0cbacked Yes5c2,616$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65b…b7dcbacked Yes5c2,597$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258a…395bbacked Yes4c2,592$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d5…046dbacked Yes5c2,571$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b13…a4dfbacked Yes5c2,547$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f8…0a7abacked Yes4c2,542$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d4…2872backed Yes4c2,536$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes4c2,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.986918.8%13 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes4c2,500$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9217340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96f0…338abacked Yes4c2,495$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6588…7a7bbacked Yes4c2,486$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a7…3433backed Yes5c2,460$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…04a3backed Yes5c2,390$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd870…1aa4backed Yes4c2,389$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc6…448ebacked Yes4c2,381$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes4c2,352$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.341118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-69.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f28…0417backed Yes4c2,342$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43e…e64fbacked Yes4c2,340$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a89…7e3cbacked Yes5c2,295$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3974…cc19backed Yes5c2,290$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f90…2c12backed Yes4c2,287$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…7e98backed Yes4c2,265$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac6…d977backed Yes3c2,254$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0f…ce35backed Yes3c2,231$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes2c2,221$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed Yes2c2,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…7caabacked Yes4c2,197$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd1…9aaebacked Yes4c2,160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f71…c48abacked Yes4c2,143$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b00…6515backed Yes4c2,121$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f81…6419backed Yes4c2,104$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa92a…f4c7backed Yes4c2,095$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes5c2,080$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.914353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69c…77c6backed Yes4c2,077$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9721…e7f2backed Yes4c2,070$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51c…ebc6backed Yes5c2,066$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…aa8fbacked Yes4c2,065$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8177…7704backed Yes5c2,065$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.