TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,370,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$846,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,370,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes2c202,552$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.321529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes2c191,613$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.8216927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes2c140,904$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.387413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes2c108,305$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.751428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes3c60,426$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.891030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes2c49,628$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.1521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes1c47,219$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2242710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes3c22,577$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes1c20,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802512%3 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c14,388$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.18355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6727…5b6dbacked Yes2c12,592$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes1c11,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes2c9,875$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.142740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,456$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.922021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes2c7,711$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508223.2%19 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes1c6,900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.788838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes0c6,698$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73541.9%1 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862e…7972backed Yes2c5,606$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.127342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c5,416$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2426330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes2c4,723$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.649516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…758bbacked Yes3c4,566$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989f…4673backed Yes2c4,200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Yes3c3,619$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5e…187bbacked Yes2c3,583$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.26120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Yes2c3,462$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.936556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes3c2,880$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c2,740$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Yes1c2,668$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68170%0 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5297…7b99backed Yes3c2,537$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2471…7796backed Yes3c2,517$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.76484.2%2 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeab…4997backed Yes2c2,503$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0f…cf1abacked Yes2c2,398$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3538backed Yes3c2,283$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1068…724fbacked Yes2c2,277$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd7…aacebacked Yes3c2,267$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069a…05acbacked Yes2c2,254$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-81.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5796…ec27backed Yes2c2,139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ca…55f3backed Yes2c2,119$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7225…3da7backed Yes1c2,112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x608d…3933backed Yes2c2,100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41b…3ba1backed Yes2c2,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0d…ab83backed Yes3c2,035$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5290%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd08b…7b66backed Yes3c1,992$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac2…64f9backed Yes2c1,986$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes3c1,981$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…7b9bbacked Yes3c1,959$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f3…6be3backed Yes3c1,884$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea96…9952backed Yes2c1,874$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e3…75cdbacked Yes2c1,865$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b55…a6a4backed Yes3c1,850$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…7f32backed Yes2c1,804$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafa…e874backed Yes3c1,748$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef30…f25abacked Yes2c1,732$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb7…a418backed Yes2c1,693$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b2…713ebacked Yes2c1,685$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8b…7566backed Yes2c1,529$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589b…b92abacked Yes3c1,506$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes3c1,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7641backed Yes3c1,479$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b19…bac4backed Yes2c1,453$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…d66ebacked Yes1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee0…4d6dbacked Yes3c1,280$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19da…1666backed Yes3c1,276$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e5…e81dbacked Yes3c1,256$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe153…1b27backed Yes2c1,216$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c1,210$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4213122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Yes3c1,208$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c14…5269backed Yes3c1,201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes2c1,190$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.235424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9a56backed Yes3c1,162$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf8…9bd5backed Yes2c1,162$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb27…248fbacked Yes2c1,159$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…228cbacked Yes3c1,137$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked Yes2c1,137$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7002…1414backed Yes3c1,103$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b5…f960backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2d…a236backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…072abacked Yes2c1,081$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd76e…832abacked Yes2c1,042$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6aa…ea6dbacked Yes3c1,041$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…a490backed Yes3c1,038$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b54…abd2backed Yes3c1,033$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc46…2c94backed Yes3c1,031$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b8…9e7dbacked Yes3c1,021$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228213.4%11 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54d…205dbacked Yes2c952.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+143.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0f…bae3backed Yes3c949$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6d…5671backed Yes2c947.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…7079backed Yes3c940$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f2…35a7backed Yes3c916$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…666bbacked Yes3c915$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a3…d25bbacked Yes3c905$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb7…422cbacked Yes2c895$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a7…3433backed Yes2c890$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492a…1754backed Yes2c838$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c809.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…0112backed Yes3c804$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.