TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,729,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,183,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,729,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes4c251,511$9,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,640.121428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes3c177,612$5,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,824.7916927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c126,925$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,426.711529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes4c115,657$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,698.87413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes4c75,141$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.24837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid-19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes3c59,069$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.0313122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes2c50,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.994122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes2c43,216$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.981030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Yes2c30,157$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.34170%0 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes4c29,872$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.4658926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes4c29,244$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.0518139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes4c28,653$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.197126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes5c27,185$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.962615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes3c25,001$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.031921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c24,078$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.2422834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes5c22,152$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.0188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes2c11,869$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c10,736$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.85355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes4c8,290$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.775623.2%13 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes6c7,778$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7219517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes3c7,050$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.972740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes2c6,770$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.989516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9070…e32cbacked Yes3c6,663$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.171811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c6,390$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes4c5,494$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4217945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes4c5,231$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9111811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes5c4,259$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008223.2%19 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa468…a723backed Yes2c4,220$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.471850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5161…ea7fbacked Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005715.8%9 W · 48 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes5c3,624$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5942640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes3c3,571$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes2c3,564$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2913011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8b…48c8backed Yes4c3,443$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2e…9f22backed Yes4c3,010$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.38100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c6…39c7backed Yes4c3,001$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes6c2,987$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.222623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes3c2,981$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.991,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0a…a2c5backed Yes3c2,890$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2894…e6a0backed Yes3c2,800$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1077…3afcbacked Yes3c2,699$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…075dbacked Yes3c2,538$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3315…9313backed Yes3c2,533$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9374…a329backed Yes3c2,430$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573e…3324backed Yes3c2,267$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900b…f507backed Yes3c2,227$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c2,066$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes5c2,065$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.878936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes4c2,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0145445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…8650backed Yes4c1,948$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes2c1,823$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes5c1,740$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.33129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0564…bb8abacked Yes3c1,733$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes5c1,698$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…e2bbbacked Yes3c1,688$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf8…84c3backed Yes3c1,533$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcb…bacbbacked Yes3c1,528$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba9…6cf0backed Yes3c1,527$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c1,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7392…b93abacked Yes3c1,480$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a9…5695backed Yes3c1,440$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289f…d918backed Yes3c1,311$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e9…0310backed Yes3c1,310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003b…8a28backed Yes4c1,298$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-79.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes4c1,237$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…1e20backed Yes2c1,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b54…abd2backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…6a45backed Yes3c1,188$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…a0eebacked Yes3c1,167$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069a…05acbacked Yes3c1,143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-81.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4111…b57dbacked Yes4c1,070$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…38e9backed Yes7c1,065$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes4c1,062$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7515332%49 W · 104 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25fc…dd0dbacked Yes5c1,036$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…970bbacked Yes2c1,015$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ed…1451backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2471…7796backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24484.2%2 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes3c999.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-93.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…e51dbacked Yes3c988$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes3c987.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01e0…99b6backed Yes3c871$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeab…4997backed Yes3c866.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1141…b2fabacked Yes5c851.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3932…d47ebacked Yes3c813$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…1c32backed Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fde…b9d1backed Yes3c773$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed Yes5c770.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.592035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932b…64c0backed Yes2c762.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81240%0 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…3e45backed Yes3c737$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a2…6419backed Yes3c731$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes3c719.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.865121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d68…9a56backed Yes3c711$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2584…2891backed Yes3c708$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…c69cbacked Yes3c708$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…05a8backed Yes3c704$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes4c692.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes2c685.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.063823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4869…5c48backed Yes3c670$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…92e0backed Yes3c659$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ae…c0b9backed Yes3c657$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.