Fifa International · resolved market
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed2e5e985631ab71750ad21a40503508a5f7d928032b2d1f8c901013f4e002f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,165,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $849,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,165,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 22c | 62,122$13,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,446.57 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 18c | 43,515$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.38 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 39,473$16,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,351.89 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 25c | 34,689$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796.49 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 19c | 34,174$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.97 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 17c | 32,439$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.2 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…70d3backed Yes | 21c | 29,783$6,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…be0bbacked Yes | 21c | 29,783$6,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 15c | 29,457$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.44 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 28,423$22,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 36c | 19,912$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098.7 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 80c | 19,718$15,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 22c | 18,416$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes | 18c | 17,880$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 22c | 17,575$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.55 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 20c | 16,928$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.07 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 19c | 16,562$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…a5cfbacked Yes | 22c | 15,099$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 58c | 13,843$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.88 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked Yes | 21c | 12,788$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.55 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 5c | 11,381$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.87 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…92b9backed Yes | 21c | 11,056$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 21c | 10,440$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 10,351$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.19 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 29c | 10,195$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.42 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 10,039$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.68 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…02bebacked No | 79c | 9,541$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…7591backed No | 79c | 9,198$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…5ae9backed Yes | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 23c | 8,332$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 79c | 7,937$6,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.14 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…00a7backed No | 79c | 7,640$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 7,214$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.38 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…911ebacked Yes | 23c | 6,892$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,614$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…90d4backed No | 79c | 6,481$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Yes | 23c | 6,316$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 20c | 6,271$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.12 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,246$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 16c | 6,191$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.24 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…92abbacked No | 79c | 6,121$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…97cfbacked No | 79c | 6,121$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…2184backed No | 79c | 6,047$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7a…8ad0backed No | 79c | 6,040$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 5,797$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.88 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 21c | 5,621$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,123$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…ca6dbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 37c | 4,398$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.98 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 30c | 4,316$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.77 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5e0dbacked No | 79c | 4,270$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…be93backed Yes | 20c | 4,176$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…846ebacked No | 79c | 4,154$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 18c | 4,044$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 19c | 3,955$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.82 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…1d15backed Yes | 20c | 3,947$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…73b2backed Yes | 21c | 3,901$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 78c | 3,893$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.73 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 19c | 3,888$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.76 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 28c | 3,844$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 22c | 3,732$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.13 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 3,572$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.94 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 29c | 3,514$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.16 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 20c | 3,434$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…db31backed Yes | 29c | 3,400$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked Yes | 20c | 3,312$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…1119backed Yes | 22c | 3,196$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 20c | 3,125$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…bb0abacked Yes | 22c | 2,856$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…ce35backed Yes | 24c | 2,740$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…c55abacked Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 29c | 2,566$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.11 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…4b79backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 78c | 2,461$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.01 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 79c | 2,446$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,415$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.61 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 23c | 2,198$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…72c2backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…8620backed Yes | 14c | 2,154$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 20c | 2,131$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 25c | 2,100$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.11 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 28c | 2,091$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.48 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 2,077$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.03 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,064$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 2,022$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.66 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 29c | 2,021$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cff5backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.67 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723b…7bbebacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 22c | 1,859$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.