TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd6b…68f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
610
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13942.4%59 W · 80 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$438.42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$14,356.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,921Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+211.1%+$6,165.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+634.3%+$14,791.05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$1,592.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$830.19
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$9,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,008.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.29
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.58
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$474.65
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$1,645
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT8737.9%33 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.43
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$825.95
Trump out as President by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$124
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$89.87
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Julie Menin be the next Speaker of the New York City Council?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$385
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.05
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.92
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$78.53
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85.82
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$90.38
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+400%+$400
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+74.5%+$303.16
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$88.47
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.76
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6328.6%18 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,033.26
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$889.98
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$544.82
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$78.45
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$239.5
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64.99
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+115.5%+$214.39
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$134.99
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$455
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+192.4%+$116.48
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+490.1%+$835.8
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Next French Prime Minister appointed by September 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$243
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$415.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$534.7
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.6%+$253.94
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$355.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,306.99
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$295.46
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,114.2
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,501Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32%+$799.33
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$565.92
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$56.82
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$247
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$652
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$575
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+559.9%+$36,856.78
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$323.99
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$262
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$771
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$450.51
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.61
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.4
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.26
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Naomi Osaka be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.72
Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.12
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+900%+$1,080
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$19.54
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$778.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+700%+$335.16
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$52.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+433%+$1,361.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$495.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,657.43
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.99
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$613.82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.98
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,055.98
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+566.7%+$279.16
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with <2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+139.8%+$583
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.9%+$449
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$418
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.55
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$639.95
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+87.3%+$3,497.51
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.8%+$446.21
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$637.37
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.41
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.92
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST270%0 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$395.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$105.12
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$179.99
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$171.2
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.2
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.56
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$34.06
Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$44
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.17
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,499.44
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+123.5%+$358.82
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$627.48
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.79
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,977.82
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,033.09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.92
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,175
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Solana reach $250 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,860.04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$535
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.79
Solana all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.85
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,050.57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,806.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$387
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.02
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,966.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+390.8%+$1,276.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.42
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,547.8
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.93
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,258.95
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$114.34
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$93.79
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.98
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,043.24
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.66
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.67
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.36
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$147
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$159
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.28
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.26
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.13
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$10.97
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$134.51
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.93
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.53
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$16.74
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.6
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+28.4%+$19.9
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$221.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+81.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+159.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+418.1%+$1,210.49
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.33
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$100.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+26.8%+$55
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+103.5%+$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clemson win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Søren Torpegaard win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.