Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939bf902c7ba884c1310f19b6be20576f823952460f6367c9f10c08cd449ee60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69d…1262backed No | 4c | 31,757$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 5,517$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…ff08backed No | 20c | 3,899$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 14c | 3,055$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…5618backed No | 11c | 2,092$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,840$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 75c | 1,793$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 3c | 1,785$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 1,728$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed No | 1c | 1,670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 77c | 1,624$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 60c | 1,542$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…28f4backed No | 16c | 1,240$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…93aabacked No | 18c | 1,200$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,042$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 5c | 971.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed No | 33c | 896.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 9c | 858.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…05c8backed No | 19c | 746.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…6cb0backed No | 23c | 739.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 26c | 708.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 5c | 673.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…d970backed No | 25c | 655.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 79c | 646.45$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…3d96backed No | 2c | 634.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 78c | 614.46$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 5c | 610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…8e1dbacked Yes | 74c | 601.09$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 2c | 584.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 17c | 556$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 544.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 544.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 5c | 526.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed No | 4c | 526.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 15c | 524$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked No | 8c | 511.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 509.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 4c | 446.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 80c | 418.87$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 399.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 4c | 393.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 4c | 393.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…b378backed No | 14c | 392.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 7c | 379.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 5c | 375.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…44edbacked Yes | 70c | 357$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 5c | 335.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…4c54backed Yes | 79c | 322.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 6c | 321.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…72f6backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…1e11backed No | 7c | 282.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 78c | 282.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…cbc2backed Yes | 72c | 277.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 6c | 267.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed No | 24c | 242.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…3222backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 79c | 189.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…2c6fbacked No | 6c | 180.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5fa4backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 72c | 170.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…e3d3backed No | 25c | 161.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 22c | 152.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed No | 26c | 151.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed No | 20c | 144.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…87cfbacked No | 39c | 128.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6a37backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…18f9backed No | 31c | 121.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…b50fbacked No | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…8454backed Yes | 78c | 108.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c3f7backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 97.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…98d0backed No | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 14c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c5fdbacked No | 19c | 81.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…d953backed No | 17c | 77.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 70.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…c068backed No | 18c | 60.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 75c | 57.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cd…2576backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 71c | 45.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0231backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.