TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab08…8e1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Boxing, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$113.6
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$61.29
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+400%+$51.66
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.3
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+67.1%+$73.19
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.34
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75%+$90.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$155.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$134.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.